Quoted: Andy,
Now that Bush is safe, whats your feeling on Blair's chances. He has been a great friend and ally of the US, and George Bush in particular, in the war on terror. Isn't Blair up for re-election soon?
What's your opinion of Blair's performance on your domestic matters? And any predictions as to his fate? I understand there's a lot of resentment in England towards him these days, but thats what I'm hearing through the (biased) media and my contacts there who have never been Blair supporters.
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Blairs performance on domestic matters…
Well, he needs to get a grip on law and order, we have a big problem with that here. Economy is good, we seem to be getting along quite nicely with a 20% tax rate, sustained growth and effectively zero unemployment. There are problems with some policies like immigration, but nothing likely to cause the public to reject his party.
There is a fair bit of resentment towards him over the war, but nothing savage, certainly not as bad as your Democrats would claim. In reality, the war in Iraq and the troops there is not a huge issue. The British public traditionally complain up till the troops are deployed, then they get behind the guys in the field. The few attempts at protests in the last year only brought out 5-10 thousand protestors. The resentment is purely over the WMD issue, not the war itself. If he had said "we are going to war to kick Sadaams butt because we don't like him", that would have been ok with the public!
On Europe, he is quite keen on us becoming integrated into Europe, but the domestic vote is very much against this. We are promised a referendum in 2006 which is expected to overwhelmingly reject our signing up for the European Constitution. If we do reject this, some EU members (France and Germany) are hinting we could be thrown out of the EU, and that would be just fine by me!
Will he get re-elected… it's a 99.99% certainty, he has a massive lead in the polls, however he has said he intends to step down after the next term. British politics are funny. We seem to traditionally rail against our leaders during wars! Churchill in 1945 and Thatcher in 1990 are two examples.
Interesting note… As soon as Kerry conceeded defeat, George Bush was on the phone to Tony Blair… this has really annoyed the Europeans who with the exception of Italy, had backed Kerry 100%! They had hoped that if Kerry had won they could isolate Britain from the US… never mind Jacques and Gerhard, back a better horse next time…
Andy