Quoted:
Quoted: I've been having an Iraq debate on another board. No one has been willing to answer my question.
What are the long term Tactical, Strategic, and Political ramifications of having a self governed, America friendly Iraq that is amicable to having military American military bases on its soil? How would that help the US fight the war on terror?
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Personally, I think those are two mutually exclusive statements.
Not to sound racist, but those people have no idea what to do with "democracy" - with military power we'll be able to maintain a regime, but after a few years of being left to their own devices, the Shiites will stage an Islamic Revolution - or some tin-pot dictator will carry out a military coup.
I could be wrong - I sure hope so.
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IMHO, an important part of the implications of a Democratic Iraq is the influence on the people of the surrounding nations. I have no idea what's going on in Syria, but I have heard that Iran has had a lot of pro-US sentiment lately (not that their current regime lets it out willingly). These people have been told for years that the reason they are living in a third-world shithole is because the evil infidel is oppressing them. What will they think when they see undeniable signs of success from a neighboring country that isn't ruled by some nutcase dictator? A further effect could be that the ruling regimes in those neighboring countries might be more hesitant to seriously oppress the people in their own nations who are calling for Democracy when a strong military force is right at their doorstep.
Of course, there's also the liberal wild card - with the way the they have been talking these days, if the liberals get the presidency anytime soon, the whole thing could go to pieces overnight.
Then, there's DK-Prof's worry. Nobody can say for sure, but I seriously hope that he is wrong about that, because if he's right, then the only way to keep ourselves safe from terrorism in the long term is to kill Arabs in numbers that would make Stalin wince.