Warning

 

Close

Confirm Action

Are you sure you wish to do this?

Confirm Cancel
Member Login
Posted: 10/23/2004 4:15:13 AM EST
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 4:27:18 AM EST
Bush is going to win
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 4:29:17 AM EST
Lets not count out NJ either, the polls that Bush has access to is showing that he has a chance, otherwise he would not be making stops there.
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 4:30:42 AM EST

Originally Posted By VTHOKIESHOOTER:
Bush is going to win



+1. Me and the wifey heading to the polls today.
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 4:33:47 AM EST
That damn California needs be split up into three states. Either that or blown off into the ocean (no offense to those of us living there).
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 4:34:17 AM EST
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 4:38:40 AM EST

Originally Posted By HiramRanger:
non of these polls are capturing military personnel that are registered to vote in Florida but stationed elsewhere... and the military vote is breaking form 3-1 to 4-1 for Bush!



Good point! The trends are looking great. It isn't going to be as close as some people think though I don't think it will be the 45 state runaway predicted here either (though we would all like to see it).
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 4:40:02 AM EST
[Last Edit: 10/23/2004 4:40:20 AM EST by EricTheHun]
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 4:49:10 AM EST
He also left off New Mexico for Bush. The latest KOB poll has Bush up by 5. He says in his statements below the map that he thinks NM will go for Kerry. Maybe now he has decided not to use current polls in states which he belives will go for Kerry??

Ohio is still making me nervous. I have seen I believe three polls now that have Kerry up 4 to 6 points. I think it would be a riot if the Dems hard work and fraud actually won Ohio for Kerry but resulted in them losing Iowa, Wisconcin, Minnesota, New Mexico and possibly Oregon.

Link Posted: 10/23/2004 4:51:38 AM EST
I pulled this off of DU


Rasmussen 3 day national tracking poll has Bush leading Kerry 49%-46%. This is a half point Bush gain from yesterday.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com

Zogby's 3 day national tracking poll for the same days has Bush with the lead 46%-45%. This is unchanged from yesterday.

http://www.zogby.com

Rasmussen 7 day rolling averages for 5 key battleground states are:

Florida, Bush 48%-47% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Michigan, Kerry 51%-46% (This is a 2 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Minnesota, Bush 48%-46% (This is a 2 point Bush gain from yesterday, and the first time he has lead this month)

Ohio, Bush 50%-46% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday)

Pennsylvania, Kerry 50%-45% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Missouri has an update that has it Bush 50%-45% which reflects a 1 point Kerry gain from 10/6.



It looks like Rasmussen has Bush up by 4 in Ohio so it's more than likely 6 or 7 for Bush. I'll worry a little less now.
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 4:52:26 AM EST
Ohio will come around. We seem to be fasionably late on everything.
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 5:03:25 AM EST
[Last Edit: 10/23/2004 5:05:01 AM EST by spm681]
Here is another poll tracker web site for those who like to crunch numbers. It's a Dem site but still worth a look. He has Bush at 271 using the latest polls.

2.004k.com/

If you click on the individual states he has some very good tracking info.
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 5:10:04 AM EST
I think Bush will win, unless the Dems pull another stunt at the last minute like in 2000 with W's old DWI arrest.
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 5:11:47 AM EST
Time is now reporting a 5 point lead for Bush. Of course this is a popular vote poll which is meaningless in the Electoral College.
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 5:18:31 AM EST
The military has been big on the whole getting out the vote thing, but so has MTV :(
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 5:36:31 AM EST

Originally Posted By natedogg42:
The military has been big on the whole getting out the vote thing, but so has MTV :(



I wouldn't worry too much about that, if there's anything on tv that voting block will stay home
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 7:06:24 AM EST
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 7:21:32 AM EST
Nevada is red again (at least pink). Living in Vegas,I never believed the polls showing it blue.
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 7:23:43 AM EST

Hawai'i Poll: Bush, Kerry in dead heat

By Derrick DePledge
Advertiser Capitol Bureau

President Bush and Sen. John Kerry are deadlocked among likely voters in Hawai'i, a surprising boost for the Republican president in a state that many Democrats had considered safe for Kerry.

The findings of the Honolulu Advertiser Hawai'i Poll suggest that Hawai'i's four electoral votes are in play with just over a week to go before the election. Nationally, other opinion polls have found that Bush and Kerry are essentially tied for the popular vote.

The Hawai'i Poll, taken among 600 likely voters statewide between Oct. 13 and Monday, had Bush at 43.3 percent and Kerry at 42.6 percent. The margin of error was 4 percentage points.




Hawai'i Poll: Bush, Kerry in dead heat

Now this is interesting. Have you noticed many of the Gore states are trending towards Bush. IA, WI, NM, NJ and now HI. This should be causing great concern with Kerry's campaign. I wonder what the interanl polls look like for the two campaigns.

Link Posted: 10/23/2004 7:25:43 AM EST
I still have a bit of hope for Oregon, especially if it looks like Kerry is folding on Nov. 2 Dems will be discouraged from voting on the west coast.

GunLvr
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 7:31:48 AM EST

Originally Posted By VTHOKIESHOOTER:
Bush is going to win



TESTIFY, brother!

PREACH IT!

Link Posted: 10/23/2004 7:41:21 AM EST
In today's Houston Chronicle it lists New Mexico as 49% Bush, 44% Kerry (Mason Dixon Oct 15-18)
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 8:09:21 AM EST

Originally Posted By VICAP:
That damn California needs be split up into three states. Either that or blown off into the ocean (no offense to those of us living there).


Why? Bush is going to take CA.

CW
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 8:14:05 AM EST
Every state in lite blue "W" will take.
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 8:17:34 AM EST
I am going to restrain my optimism, simly because I don't want to be too disapointed should the unspeakable happen.

But, BOY, is the Left going to FREAK OUT if W takes California!
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 8:21:32 AM EST
I find it interesting that just about every part of the country except the west and northeast are for Bush. That's the reason I prefer the electoral college.
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 9:26:05 AM EST
Still waiting for the rest of you guys to invade IL and liberate us.



"John has a long moustache"

"Wounds my heart with a monotonous langour"
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 9:34:21 AM EST

Originally Posted By HiramRanger:
... non of these polls are capturing military personnel that are registered to vote in Florida but stationed elsewhere...


True.

Unfortunately, none of these polls are also capturing the rampant voter fraud that IMHO is likely to be committed by the Democrats (via the unions) in Ohio and Pennsylvania.
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 9:34:29 AM EST
I just donated to the Swifties.


PLEASE, SEND THESE GUYS AT LEAST A $20. EVERYONE CAN AFFORD A 20 SPOT.

cmos
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 10:08:15 AM EST
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 10:09:53 AM EST
45 states...but only if you get out and VOTE!


Sgatr15
Link Posted: 10/23/2004 10:27:42 PM EST
Hiram,


Keep this thread up!


I look forward to it daily.


thanks, Pic
Link Posted: 10/24/2004 5:41:26 AM EST
I don't know, if he was cherry picking, how come IA, MN and WI are ALL red? Surely he could find a poll or two that show one of those three states going blue.

I do hope MN goes Bush this year. I think it'd be the final nail in the liberal coffin and allow for some amazing changes that this state so badly needs.
Link Posted: 10/24/2004 5:53:51 AM EST
Link Posted: 10/24/2004 10:23:53 AM EST
[Last Edit: 10/24/2004 10:29:05 AM EST by HeavyMetal]
Top Top