Despite several recent polls that have shown a Bush lead in Florida, he continues to look for polls that either show a Kerry lead or tie.  I am convinced he is trying to set the stage for a rehash of 2000 with everything focusing on Florida.  I don't believe for a moment that Ohio is going Kerry, much less that it will do so more strongly than PA will... if indeed PA goes to Kerry.  The Swifities are raising money to buy ad time in PA.  Please support them at www.swiftvets.com, with luck their ads, the NRA's bombardment of ads and volunteers and Sinclair showing portions of Stolen Honor we might be able to get those couple extra points we need to win!



Kerry 257 Bush 254

Zogby (1212 LV) 10/20 - 10/22 47% 45% 1% Bush +2 Time (803 LV) 10/19 - 10/21 51% 46% 2% Bush +5 ABC/Wash Post (1248 LV)* 10/19 - 10/21 50% 46% 1% Bush +4 TIPP (792 LV) 10/18 - 10/21 47% 46% 2% Bush +1 AP-Ipsos (976 LV) 10/18 - 10/20 46% 49% 2% Kerry +3 Marist (772 LV w/leaners) 10/17 - 10/19 49% 48% 1% Bush +1 FOX News (1000 LV) 10/17 - 10/18 49% 42% 2% Bush +7

Please note, Zogby holds with a two point Bush lead... this means their is a real lead out there and the democrats leading pollster is admitting it.  Expect a drop off tomorrow and maybe neck and neck Monday, but this is what happens to Republicans with weekend polling.  Believe it or not, we have lives and aren't sitting at home on the weekends like many democratic voters do for a variety of reasons.

Realclearpolitics electoral map



Kerry 210 Bush 234

I'll accept them putting Florida in a toss-up column, because at least they are being honest and putting Ohio there as well.  Realclearpolitics uses a level of consistency that the twit at electoral-vote.com could only dream of.



After a little profit taking it appears that the Iowa Political Futures Map is trending upward for Bush again.



Tradesports confirms a solid Bush lead among investors and gamblers who are willing to risk their hard earned money speculating who will win the race.

Yes, NJ and NH are definite Bush possibilities...  Ohio will come home as will Florida!  Jeb is one of the most popular Governors in the nation, and non of these polls are capturing military personnel that are registered to vote in Florida but stationed elsewhere... and the military vote is breaking form 3-1 to 4-1 for Bush!

Quoted: ... and the military vote is breaking form 3-1 to 4-1 for Bush!

Yes, but are their votes going to be counted this time?

The Bush Administration has had more than three years to make certain that the votes of all military members overseas could be counted, but has it done so?

I really don't know. Who does?

Eric The(Puzzled)Hun

Every military unit is supposed to have an officer whose job it is to make sure absentee ballot applications are available for the men and women of that unit, that they know the deadlines and that the ballot aps and ballots themselves are sent out on time.

Just gave the Swifties $25.  Cha-Ching!!!!

Quoted: I don't know, if he was cherry picking, how come IA, MN and WI are ALL red?  Surely he could find a poll or two that show one of those three states going blue.   I do hope MN goes Bush this year.  I think it'd be the final nail in the liberal coffin and allow for some amazing changes that this state so badly needs.

There have been several polls showing a Bush lead in Florida which he has chosen to ignore and called the state either for Kerry or undecided... one day last week there were a slew of Mason Dixon polls which he conveniently ignored in the Great Lakes states which he was ignoring.  He does this until the polls are so overwhelming in terms of numbers that he must conceed a Bush lead.

Good movement today for Bush on the RCP average.

I am begining to think that statistician who plotted the polling trends and argued the polls were manupliated around the convention was exactly right.