Cuba after Castro

Posted: 8/6/2005 7:06:16 AM EDT

Obviously, Castro ain't gonna live forver. Any thoughts or guesses as to which direction Cuba will take when he finally kicks the bucket?

Will they move to a capitalistic society, give the Bahamas a run for their money as a vacation resort?

Will his successor be even a bigger asshole in order to maintain power?

Will the drug lords take over & have the govt they finally hope for? (Think Godfather Part II)

Will it be the typical Central America country with a revolution every 6 weeks or so for the first year or two?

All of the above? None?

Thoughts from you fellow history & political buffs out there..............????????????

Posted: 8/6/2005 7:15:10 AM EDT

[#1]

Become a democracy and ship us cheap cigars by the ton.

Posted: 8/6/2005 7:25:47 AM EDT

[#2]

Many of the wealthy Cubans from Tampa and Miami plan to move back and stake claims to their land that was seized.

There will be a few years of bitter land battles, and then it will become a prosperous toursit destination and agricultural producer.

Posted: 8/6/2005 7:43:21 AM EDT

[#3]

Quoted:
Many of the wealthy Cubans from Tampa and Miami plan to move back and stake claims to their land that was seized.

There will be a few years of bitter land battles, and then it will become a prosperous toursit destination and agricultural producer.

I belive you are correct.

Posted: 8/6/2005 7:44:43 AM EDT

[#4]

Doesn't he have a Fidel Junior poised to assume the role?

Same ole, same ole.

Until they realize living under socialism isn't getting it done, they are destined to continue their have-not status

Posted: 8/6/2005 1:13:00 PM EDT

[#5]

I understand Castros brother, Raoul?, is even worse than Castro. Supposedly the brother is really running the place day to day and isn't afraid to crack skulls if need be.

I don't hold out much hope for an instant change. I think it'll be a very rough decade after Castro finally (how old is that guy?) kicks it.

Any "oldtimers" living in Miami might want to think that "move back" over again. Somehow I don't think they are going to be met with open arms by the locals, no matter who wins the power struggle.

Here's to hoping it's a good outcome for the basic citizen. They need it.

Posted: 8/6/2005 1:14:28 PM EDT

[#6]

And you can also look for organized crime to return to the island.

Posted: 8/6/2005 1:16:13 PM EDT

[#7]

As mentioned, there won't be a Cuba without a Castro for many many years between the
son and the brother. So, get comfy. Only thing is maybe the son will be more
open to talks with US and maybe the embargo can be lifted, but that's
a stretch I think.

Posted: 8/6/2005 1:19:53 PM EDT

[#8]

Cuba is already a hell of a vacation destination, just not for americans. Lot's of Canadians go there. I got married in Jamaica, and well lemme tell ya about cigars. As good as you hear about them being, your paying for a label. You can get cubans all over the caribbean and several cigar afficianados there were smoking ones from honduras and/or Jamaica. They all said Cubans are good, but overrated.

Posted: 8/6/2005 1:30:11 PM EDT

[#9]

Quoted:
Many of the wealthy Cubans from Tampa and Miami plan to move back and stake claims to their land that was seized.

There will be a few years of bitter land battles, and then it will become a prosperous toursit destination and agricultural producer.

Sounds like the perfect plan and i'd love to see it happen, but there are two reasons why I think it won't.

These Cuban exiles won't want to fight now. The Cuban people fear reprisals from loyalist Castro communists who live like kings in comparison to the majority. Those who participate in offical Communist Party Business have a vested interest to preserve and endeavor to keep communism alive at all cost.

Over the past 7 years Raul Castro, Fidel's younger brother, has been taking on increased responsibility
within the Cuban Gov. Proving to neighsayers that he's more than ready to take over the communist government island when Fidel eventually dies. Cubans might revolt when Fidel dies, but revolts have been easily squashed before. Raul will be in charge of the country and ofcourse the military.

HS1

Posted: 8/6/2005 9:11:33 PM EDT

[#10]

There will be a bloody nasty fight. And it will be a long time before they let the mob back in.

Posted: 8/6/2005 9:17:03 PM EDT

[#11]

Quoted:
Many of the wealthy Cubans from Tampa and Miami plan to move back and stake claims to their land that was seized.

There will be a few years of bitter land battles, and then it will become a prosperous toursit destination and agricultural producer.

+1.

Posted: 8/6/2005 9:22:27 PM EDT

[#12]

Raul is only a few years younger than Fidel. The second and third tier of the leadership has younger people, but it all could easily collapse without a well-known figurehead.

If they go capitalist there will be a gigantic real estate boom. People will snap up second homes there, and there will be wall to wall hotels. Cuba is worse off economically that it was before the revolution and they've got fifty years to make up.

Posted: 8/6/2005 9:30:29 PM EDT

[#13]

Quoted: Many of the wealthy Cubans from Tampa and Miami plan to move back and stake claims to their land that was seized.

There will be a few years of bitter land battles, and then it will become a prosperous toursit destination and agricultural producer.

It won't be that bad, but first we gotta assasinate Castro's brother and his henchmen. I wouldn't mind having a capitalist Cuba next door as a source of parts for muscle cars and hot rods! The Verkers Paradise is so backwards that they are forced to preserve and use vehicles that we consider classics.

Posted: 8/6/2005 9:34:12 PM EDT

[#14]

Nothing will change. Count on it.

Posted: 8/7/2005 7:47:56 AM EDT

[#15]

They'll have Casino's and Resorts there again.

Posted: 8/7/2005 7:58:07 AM EDT

[#16]

Quoted:
And you can also look for organized crime to return to the island.

castro = ogranized crime

Posted: 8/7/2005 8:01:09 AM EDT

[#17]

Quoted:
Become a democracy and ship us cheap cigars by the ton.

Democracy, sure.

Cheap cigars? Never.

They can not keep up with the current demands as it stands, and we are not even in the mix.

Posted: 8/7/2005 8:19:47 AM EDT

[#18]

Quoted:
Cuba is already a hell of a vacation destination, just not for americans. Lot's of Canadians go there. I got married in Jamaica, and well lemme tell ya about cigars. As good as you hear about them being, your paying for a label. You can get cubans all over the caribbean and several cigar afficianados there were smoking ones from honduras and/or Jamaica. They all said Cubans are good, but overrated.

Amen to that.

Posted: 8/7/2005 6:04:14 PM EDT

[#19]

Quoted:
And you can also look for organized crime to return to the island.

From what I hear, the Columbian cartels use Cuba for a lot of their cocaine smuggling. Lotsa $$$ going into Castro's pockets, supposedly.

Posted: 8/7/2005 7:35:30 PM EDT

[#20]

Quoted:
The Cuban people fear reprisals from loyalist Castro communists who live like kings in comparison to the majority. Those who participate in offical Communist Party Business have a vested interest to preserve and endeavor to keep communism alive at all cost.

Posted: 8/7/2005 7:47:59 PM EDT

[#21]

Paul will take power and Cuba will become the new Mexico within 3 yrs.

The "green-Worms" are already keeping that shithead's regime propped-up as it is and Cuban people will jump on the chance to exploit their natural business savvy at the expence of the 'Revolution".

Americans are ready to shower Cuba with any number of financial incentives if they choose to accept them.

Paul/Raul won't be able to stop it.

Posted: 8/7/2005 8:10:08 PM EDT

[#22]

Casinos for the East coast.

Posted: 8/7/2005 10:13:40 PM EDT

[#23]

Short bloody civil war followed by lots of killings over land rights, then the Casinos will go up.

Well, I could be right ya know.

Posted: 8/7/2005 10:15:50 PM EDT

[#24]

Wonder if I could sit on the beach and pick off a few commies, don't think it'd help the over all picture but hell, it'd make me feel better.

Posted: 8/7/2005 10:35:48 PM EDT

[#25]

When Castro goes tango uniform, they will keep it hush-hush and have a look-alike replace him quietly. This process will reapeat until Castro is over 150 years old and we all get real suspicous.

The process has probably started already.

Posted: 8/7/2005 10:52:28 PM EDT

[#26]

It will be a good place to buy 50's and 60's cars.

Hookers and rum.

Maybe some dive spots.

When castro dies it will be his single biggest accomplishment, by a huge margin. Same for every socialist.

When a socialist dies an angel gets it's wings and hell gets another customer.

Posted: 8/7/2005 11:00:52 PM EDT

[#27]

Quoted:
It will be a good place to buy 50's and 60's cars.

aint' that the truth........you'll have every major auto re-builder scrambling into cuba to buy up those those cars, send them back, and do a hack job on them to "hot rod" them and re-sell them for some major dollars....of course the only people that will get ripped off will be the cubans for selling them for what will probably be a thousand bucks. and you can forget about getting cheap cigars, those are expensive in canada, they will be double the price if they sell them here

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