I believe the " conservative religious" are going to lose this fight.
http://www.cnn.com/2012/01/04/opinion/cardona-romney-iowa/?hpt=us_mid
Tuesday night's tight contest for the top spot in the Iowa Republican caucuses reflects the ongoing tension that exists within the Republican Party.
This struggle between the conservative religious voters –– whose voice is strong and loud in Iowa and was represented by Rick Santorum –– and the more moderate, mainstream voters, represented by Mitt Romney, is indicative of a fight for the soul of the Republican Party.
What is so interesting is that four years ago, Romney's 25% share of the vote was not nearly enough to give him the victory. But this year, that same 25% is enough to keep him alive.
While his campaign will spin that he was not really playing in Iowa, he cannot be totally happy, because the Iowa results cannot be read as anything than a continued rejection of Romney by conservative GOP voters.
Regardless, as long as the anybody-but-Romney vote is split among several candidates, and the longer most of them stay in the race, the better it is for Romney –– who can thereby win primaries with far less than a majority.