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Ok, just throwing this out there, but there are still contacts to be made during the current solar cycle - let's not get too pessimistic...
Just about every afternoon I can make contacts on 20m SSB with my IC-7100 @ 20 watts, and a 3ft mini-hamstick. I often have a pipeline into Oregon/Washington and am being heard with honest 5x7 to 5x9 reports. On my way home from work (10 minute drive) I turn on the radio and it's rare when I don't make a contact.
Yeah, I'm not sitting there banging out back to back contacts into Europe or Asia, but I'm still making contacts anyway...
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Absolutely.
Yes, we are near the bottom of the sun spot cycle. But that doesn't mean HF radio is dead. It doesn't even mean that QRP is dead.
It does mean that you have to use a band where you are going to get reflection off of the ionosphere. But, over the last few weeks I have made contacts on 15 meters and lots of contacts on 17 meters running QRP. And I made a fair number of contacts using a mag loop sitting on my porch. The remainder of the contacts I made were using temporary antennas, again, on my porch. I was trying to get ready for yesterday, which is the Ohio NVIS antenna day. For the last 7-10 days, I have taken out all my portable antennas and made sure they were all correctly tuned to resonance and functional. I did this by tying to simulate portable operation by using my small portable radios, battery power, and antennas I just put up at very low heights (max of 15 feet). While I was at it, I used these antennas on digital modes and on CW.
I made approx. 100 FT-8 contacts running my KX2 at 5 watts from battery power using sloping end fed dipoles with the feedpoint at 15 feet, an LNR mag loop antenna sitting on the porch, and a vertical for 30 and 40 meters bolted to my front porch railing.
And this is one take-away point of the whole thing: If you are running QRP, and if you are running one of the most inefficient modes we have in ham radio (SSB), and you are using a very small antenna; at the bottom of the sun spot cycle............you are really tying one or possibly both arms behind your back.
All that being said, at the actual NVIS Antenna Day event yesterday, we operated from a state park and we tried about five different antennas, and running portable off of batteries, we pretty much talked to everybody we could hear running SSB at 100 watts (I got to try out my new FT-891). I was 15 over at the state EOC. A fun day was had by all.