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Believe its system issue,,getting "carrier is busy"
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I'm 99.9% certain, sure you'd pick up on it or realize of you did something inside. So Very seriously doubt its that.
If you have tried a second traditional land line (POTs) phone both inside at an RJ-11 Jack and outside at the Telco's Demarcation enclosure's RJ-11 Jack, I'd guess someone (not sure why) has changed something either at the local PED/box in the field, the Central office or your accounts provisioning.
Keep us updated, I'm curious what the root cause and the Fix was.
Who is your Landline Provider?
Are you in a Rural area or Metro?
I'm curious if they'll even fix a POTs line or just switch you to a Cell based VOIP box that give you landline Tone and type service.
Its no secret that many Telcos are allowing copper to die.
My pops shut off his ATT phone in St. Louis, because he is a bit of a cranky old Luddite sometimes. Anything he doesn't like (can't understand, fix or make do what he wants), his solution is to "Just Turn the MF'er off and Cancel it"...
He did that one day in a tantrum. Two weeks later when he could not call his brother to bitch about the clouds, he discovered the error of his ways when he called ATT to turn it back on. They said, Sorry, we are no longer turning up or supporting Copper lines in your area. We will switch you to a VOIP setup. They put a Cell based MTA in his house and plugged it into one of the Pots jacks and brought all their landlines back on. Now with a new a new phone number as well...