Quoted: Bush 49.7% popular vote. Kerry 48.9% Popular vote.
Electoral Votes: Bush 290, Kerry 248.
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As a side bet, If Bush beats Kerry by more than 5% points I am predicting that Kerry will go into a brutal funk of depression for 48 hours, the whole time blaming Teresa and Edwards for the loss. On the third day he will send a suicide note to Dan Rather. In the note he will blame "that Portuguese whore and faggoty ass bitch Edwards" for poisoning his image with the nation.
At the same time the note arrives he will use his captured "Chinese assualt rifle" and his 12GA goose gun to bust a cap in both their asses.
Teresa will pass on, but Edwards will be paralyzed. Unfortunately, since Kerry was not elected no cure will be forth coming.
GOV readers. please be advised this is a work of speculation and in no way constitutes an endorsement of any acts of violence against any Democratic Party members.