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It's Warner's seat for as long as he wants it.
As long as the Virginia GOP keeps fielding has-beens there will be no other result.
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The VA GOP's problem is similar to the problem that the Republican party faces nationwide. They can't win young voters and single women until they stop trying to ban gay marriage and trying to ban all abortions. And they can't win a good chunk of older white Christians unless they fight hard to ban gay marriage and ban all abortions. So they can almost never find a candidate who can win an actual majority of the vote.
Make no mistake, if it survives another 40 years or so, the Republican party will have no official opposition to gay marriage, and a much softened stance on abortion. The question is whether we can survive that long. I live in NoVA and know dozens of people who are economically conservative and have no problems with guns - but they will NEVER vote for a Republican who tells them that their gay friends are evil or that they shouldn't have access to certain forms of birth control.
This is not a criticism of those of you who are Christians or who oppose gay marriage or abortion - just a statement of political reality. Ignore it at your own peril.