I haven't seen much of a fluctuation. Pretty much everything transferable has been on a steady climb and I see no reason for the prices to stop. What's available now is all that will ever be available and until they reach a price point where only the wealth can afford them they will continue to climb. The longer you wait the more you'll pay. Just my humble opinion.

If an M16 is what you want, sell Title 1 guns or take out the damned 401k loan ... but buy it. Registered transferable MGs are not a "budget decision"; they are an emotional, gut choice. Find the money and buy what your heart wants, then keep it forever. Between the actual initial cost and the wait ... it's a big-bucks, long-term commitment not unlike getting married.

Do it right the first time.

(Posted by a guy who has been married three times ... but the final marriage has lasted 28 years and is stronger than ever, because I finally figured this out.)

I agree. If its what you really want and you have a way to do it then you should go for it. If you have time to pay yourself back on a 401k loan its not such a bad deal.

SBRs an suppressors are money losers. Might as well keep them.

Well, keep looking. I sold an Oly/PAWS conversion last December for $14.5k because I wanted a quick sale, which I got. Sometimes, sellers don't want to deal with weeks or months of tire-kickers.

No conversions that I would flatly say to stay away from ... most have been fixed to run fine by now. An obviously repaired, or ridden-hard-and-put-away-wet, example should jump out at ya from pix. Stay away from those.

As far as what to keep ... Jeep29 is right, suppressors have little resale value, but once you own an M16, you may well lose your love for any semi ARs. To me, they are M16s with their testicles removed. I only own one today, a factory Colt 6933 bought mostly for the upper, but also because it was an older one with the large hammer- and trigger-pins...

Which brings up my next point: Once you have your M16, not only will you stop shooting your semi ARs, you'll also start collecting FA fire-control parts to tinker with, and having a ton of those plus semi ARs is not a good idea.

I went through my collection and sold off:

-- Any NIB or unfired examples I had owned for more than a year or two. If I hadn't shot them by then, I never would... so what's the point of owning them?

--The guns I had always wanted, but when I got them, it turned out I did not enjoy shooting them. Had a bunch of pre-'64 Model 70 Winchesters in this category.

--The guns I had always wanted, but simply had no use for. A Ruger No. 1 Tropical in .458 Winchester Mag fell in this category. I do miss it, and today, decades later, I'm looking for another one ... but I sold it for enough to buy a transferable MG; and today, I can buy a dozen replacement .458's for what my one MG is worth.

I also "opted out" of the new-car craze. I buy minty off-lease 2-3-year-old cars, then drive them for years after I pay them off. I have saved enough in unneeded car/lease payments to underwrite most of my MGs and ammo.

Just some thoughts. Everyone needs to set up their own life priority list. MGs are expensive, but even today are affordable if you really want one. That may not continue to be true five or ten years from now. And then you'll be looking back with regret.

Your Mileage May Vary.

I ordered a full-size Vector from an incoming batch to JLM, but the day Jim called to say it had arrived, I had just mailed a check for $1,300 for an NIB M11/9mm with a STEn-mag conversion, and was temporarily tapped out. Jim said, "No problem, I'll sell this to the next guy, and give you one from the next batch."

Sigh. Of course, there was no "next batch" ... Vector had sold out.

Uzi prices immediately took off, of course. I ended up buying mine NIB from another source less than six months later ... for $3,900, instead of $2,750. Live and learn.

Lesson: Even 14 years ago, MG prices could jump 50% in six months. That's even more true today.

My thoughts ...

--If 41P does go through, this time there are some experienced, heavyweight law firms lined up to challenge it in federal court on several levels. I've read their comments and briefs, and the issues go well beyond just the Second Amendment. If 41P stands, the challenges will be very, very interesting.

--Since 41P was proposed, several state legislatures are now debating "must sign" state laws (IIRC, it has already been signed into law in one state). Look for more of this in coming months in the "free" states.

--While suppressor, SBR and SBS sales may take a hit, the MG market will feel any impact far less, IMHO. MG buyers today are mostly in an entirely different demographic. MAC prices will be the most effected, but with the majority of other MGs in the five-figure range now, buyers tend to be folks who are more used to dealing with legal barriers, and finding lawful ways to overcome them. For well-heeled buyers, it's not an issue. Get a CLEO sign off through strategic political campaign contributions; establish a residence in counties that have solid histories of CLEOs signing off; start up, or buy into, an existing brick-and-mortar FFL operation. All of these options are far cheaper than the overhead routinely paid by people who collect classic cars.

That's my take; your mileage may vary.