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Link Posted: 1/13/2014 12:06:45 AM EDT
[#1]

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Not saying they're wrong but, how many times have we heard this since 2008?

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Quoted:

Former OMB Director David Stockman says its over in 2014.  



http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/1/10_David_Stockman_-_2014_Is_The_Year_Of_The_End_Game.html



John Williams of ShadowStats, Dr. Paul Craig Roberts and Gerald Celente all say the same about 2014.




Not saying they're wrong but, how many times have we heard this since 2008?

QE has prolonged the inevitable...All for Negative Growth, where it matters.

They have lost control of the situation, QE has proven to be an Epic Failure; QE = Money Laundering



 
Link Posted: 1/14/2014 9:33:38 PM EDT
[#2]
Link Posted: 1/14/2014 10:03:30 PM EDT
[#3]
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That's a little concerning.
Link Posted: 1/15/2014 7:24:55 AM EDT
[#4]
Link Posted: 1/16/2014 6:43:15 AM EDT
[#5]
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"Prefers gold"
Link Posted: 1/16/2014 7:08:49 AM EDT
[#6]
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"Prefers gold"
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And your point is...?
Link Posted: 1/16/2014 8:26:14 AM EDT
[#7]



Nigel Farage Booms "Europe Is Now Run By Big Banks, Big Business, And Big Bureaucrats"








"Europe" could easily be replaced with 'The World'


Countries Run by Oligarchs or a Country Run by Radical Islam appear to be the going options


Not a Winning combination





I vote for the Country Run by Free-Market Capitalists









 
 
Link Posted: 1/16/2014 9:19:24 AM EDT
[#8]
Link Posted: 1/16/2014 10:34:45 AM EDT
[#9]
Link Posted: 1/16/2014 12:37:04 PM EDT
[#10]

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Originally Posted By glockO:



Nigel Farage Booms "Europe Is Now Run By Big Banks, Big Business, And Big Bureaucrats"




"Europe" could easily be replaced with 'The World'

Countries Run by Oligarchs or a Country Run by Radical Islam appear to be the going options

Not a Winning combination



I vote for the Country Run by Free-Market Capitalists



View Quote
http://youtu.be/l93yjako2j8

   




 
I do like Nigel.
Link Posted: 1/16/2014 6:19:46 PM EDT
[#11]
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Quoted:

And your point is...?
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And your point is...?



He's got something to sell
Link Posted: 1/18/2014 3:28:33 PM EDT
[#12]
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Prefers copper.  
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Quoted:


Prefers copper.  



Link Posted: 1/18/2014 11:20:48 PM EDT
[#13]
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Quoted:


Not saying they're wrong but, how many times have we heard this since 2008?
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Former OMB Director David Stockman says its over in 2014.  

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/1/10_David_Stockman_-_2014_Is_The_Year_Of_The_End_Game.html

John Williams of ShadowStats, Dr. Paul Craig Roberts and Gerald Celente all say the same about 2014.


Not saying they're wrong but, how many times have we heard this since 2008?

Well, in our fast food, microwave, instant gratification society, everyone now expects things to happen "right now" when in fact it IS happening "right now" but most don't "recognize it" because it all isn't happening inside a one hour crime drama like on TV.
Link Posted: 1/19/2014 10:41:58 AM EDT
[#14]
Link Posted: 1/19/2014 11:19:53 AM EDT
[#15]
Link Posted: 1/19/2014 1:07:57 PM EDT
[#16]

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Acts of High-Treason...how many examples do WE need?

They want US to believe it's Gross Incompetence, but these are calculated actions; Political Coup d'etat

F'in Pimps
 
Link Posted: 1/19/2014 1:35:54 PM EDT
[#17]
Link Posted: 1/19/2014 1:41:02 PM EDT
[#18]




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Quoted:
Well, in our fast food, microwave, instant gratification society, everyone now expects things to happen "right now" when in fact it IS happening "right now" but most don't "recognize it" because it all isn't happening inside a one hour crime drama like on TV.
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Originally Posted By zeekh:
Quoted:




Former OMB Director David Stockman says its over in 2014.  
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/1/10_David_Stockman_-_2014_Is_The_Year_Of_The_End_Game.html
John Williams of ShadowStats, Dr. Paul Craig Roberts and Gerald Celente all say the same about 2014.

Not saying they're wrong but, how many times have we heard this since 2008?









Well, in our fast food, microwave, instant gratification society, everyone now expects things to happen "right now" when in fact it IS happening "right now" but most don't "recognize it" because it all isn't happening inside a one hour crime drama like on TV.







 



The thing people don't get is the fact that this is not a "correction", this is a "collapse".  













With systemic collapses, the larger the system the longer it takes.   Rome did not collapse in a day.  We are in the process of "collapse".   The "seeds" of our collapse sprouted in 1901, which marked our ideological death, and the rise of Progressive government...both left and right PROGRESSIVE government. Don't be fooled by the modern titles of Republican and Democrat, left or right...they are both the same Authoritarian party building government, increasing debt, and tearing down individual freedom and free markets.  




The collapse accelerated through the 1930's, and again from the late 60's.  There have been many signposts along the way.  Red letter dates are 1901, 1906, 1908, 1913, 1920,  1933-39, 1947, 1968, 1971, 1983, 1989, 1999, 2001, 2008-. It's an ongoing process.













So yeah, people have been talking about "it" for a long time.   But we are now in the last stage.  Even so, this stage will probably last for several more years, but once completed the world will never look the same again.  







































 
Link Posted: 1/19/2014 2:20:39 PM EDT
[#19]


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Quoted:
Hmmm, I don't recall GD's head expoding over this ...
.
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Quoted:





Quoted:




Acts of High-Treason...how many examples do WE need?


They want US to believe it's Gross Incompetence, but these are calculated actions; Political Coup d'etat


F'in Pimps
 



Hmmm, I don't recall GD's head expoding over this ...



With typical arrogance, some Chinese have boasted that their submarines are on alert and prepared to kill between 5 million and 12 million Americans in Western U.S. cities



.



 
Link Posted: 1/19/2014 2:25:41 PM EDT
[#20]
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Quoted:

Hmmm, I don't recall GD's head expoding over this ...





.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Acts of High-Treason...how many examples do WE need?
They want US to believe it's Gross Incompetence, but these are calculated actions; Political Coup d'etat
F'in Pimps


 

Hmmm, I don't recall GD's head expoding over this ...


With typical arrogance, some Chinese have boasted that their submarines are on alert and prepared to kill between 5 million and 12 million Americans in Western U.S. cities




.

That's really not that hard to do now.

You could kill 12 million by permanently disrupting the electrical grid and destroying several dams and never touch a large city with radiation.
Link Posted: 1/19/2014 3:34:58 PM EDT
[#21]
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Quoted:
Acts of High-Treason...how many examples do WE need?
They want US to believe it's Gross Incompetence, but these are calculated actions; Political Coup d'etat
F'in Pimps


 
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Quoted:
Acts of High-Treason...how many examples do WE need?
They want US to believe it's Gross Incompetence, but these are calculated actions; Political Coup d'etat
F'in Pimps


 




Told ya years ago...  

Takes a while for folks to wake up, ----I understand...    

Leftist Ideology in Progress....

Just like Khrushchev told us 60 years ago and we were having too much fun to listen...

Most still are like the Ostrich in the pix above, even right here in this topic.






Link Posted: 1/19/2014 10:34:05 PM EDT
[#22]
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Quoted:
Acts of High-Treason...how many examples do WE need?
They want US to believe it's Gross Incompetence, but these are calculated actions; Political Coup d'etat
F'in Pimps


 
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Quoted:
Acts of High-Treason...how many examples do WE need?
They want US to believe it's Gross Incompetence, but these are calculated actions; Political Coup d'etat
F'in Pimps


 



Yep. And all 3 branches of government are in on it. Yet some people suggest that we have a means and we should follow the process outlined in the Constitution for redressing our grievances.
Link Posted: 1/19/2014 10:34:11 PM EDT
[#23]




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Hmmm, I don't recall GD's head expoding over this ...
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Quoted:
Originally Posted By glockO:
Acts of High-Treason...how many examples do WE need?




They want US to believe it's Gross Incompetence, but these are calculated actions; Political Coup d'etat




F'in Pimps
 





Hmmm, I don't recall GD's head expoding over this ...





With typical arrogance, some Chinese have boasted that their submarines are on alert and prepared to kill between 5 million and 12 million Americans in Western U.S. cities
















China's massive military buildup! China spends a quarter of what we spend on their military.















China is not a major threat.  In fact, no nation state on the planet is stupid enough to think they can militarily defeat the United States.  We spend 3 or 4 times the combined military budgets of our enemies.













In fact, the entire planet UNITED against us could not beat us militarily.  We have the largest military budget in the history of the planet.  













The neoconservatives and progressives want us "active" in empire building because there is a lot of money to made in building empires.  But without exception, every single nation that has attempted empire has failed.  But it's different this time?  ....really?































Our own government is THE threat.  

 


 
Link Posted: 1/19/2014 11:45:25 PM EDT
[#24]
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Quoted:


China's massive military buildup! China spends a quarter of what we spend on their military.

China is not a major threat.  In fact, no nation state on the planet is stupid enough to think they can militarily defeat the United States.  We spend 3 or 4 times the combined military budgets of our enemies.

In fact, the entire planet UNITED against us could not beat us militarily.  We have the largest military budget in the history of the planet.  

The neoconservatives and progressives want us "active" in empire building because there is a lot of money to made in building empires.  But without exception, every single nation that has attempted empire has failed.  But it's different this time?  ....really?



Our own government is THE threat.  
 

 
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Originally Posted By glockO:
Acts of High-Treason...how many examples do WE need?
They want US to believe it's Gross Incompetence, but these are calculated actions; Political Coup d'etat
F'in Pimps


 

Hmmm, I don't recall GD's head expoding over this ...


With typical arrogance, some Chinese have boasted that their submarines are on alert and prepared to kill between 5 million and 12 million Americans in Western U.S. cities



China's massive military buildup! China spends a quarter of what we spend on their military.

China is not a major threat.  In fact, no nation state on the planet is stupid enough to think they can militarily defeat the United States.  We spend 3 or 4 times the combined military budgets of our enemies.

In fact, the entire planet UNITED against us could not beat us militarily.  We have the largest military budget in the history of the planet.  

The neoconservatives and progressives want us "active" in empire building because there is a lot of money to made in building empires.  But without exception, every single nation that has attempted empire has failed.  But it's different this time?  ....really?



Our own government is THE threat.  
 

 


What if China were to ship 100,000 people over hear once a week.  All they do is send unarmed men and women in boats that arrive at random ports.  The people force their way off.  We'll shoot some of them, but after about a month of shooting unarmed people the US would surrender.
Link Posted: 1/20/2014 12:03:03 AM EDT
[#25]




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Originally Posted By stutzcattle:
What if China were to ship 100,000 people over hear once a week.  All they do is send unarmed men and women in boats that arrive at random ports.  The people force their way off.  We'll shoot some of them, but after about a month of shooting unarmed people the US would surrender.
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Originally Posted By stutzcattle:
Quoted:
Quoted:









Hmmm, I don't recall GD's head expoding over this ...














China's massive military buildup! China spends a quarter of what we spend on their military.
China is not a major threat.  In fact, no nation state on the planet is stupid enough to think they can militarily defeat the United States.  We spend 3 or 4 times the combined military budgets of our enemies.
In fact, the entire planet UNITED against us could not beat us militarily.  We have the largest military budget in the history of the planet.  
The neoconservatives and progressives want us "active" in empire building because there is a lot of money to made in building empires.  But without exception, every single nation that has attempted empire has failed.  But it's different this time?  ....really?
Our own government is THE threat.  




 
 

What if China were to ship 100,000 people over hear once a week.  All they do is send unarmed men and women in boats that arrive at random ports.  The people force their way off.  We'll shoot some of them, but after about a month of shooting unarmed people the US would surrender.







 



I saw that movie, Invasion of the Body Snatchers, right?













How is China going to ship 100k people here each and every week?  Why would they do it?  What the fuck is wrong with Americans?  Do we need bogeymen so bad that we'll turn countries that formally weren't considered a threat, into a threat?  Just because the last bogeyman country or organization isn't believable anymore?













When did China become our bogeymen?  It happened after the Cold War ended.  Americans seem to have forgotten that we were once pretty friendly, and they opposed the big bad USSR.  In China's long history how many countries have they invaded?   Good lord....













Sometimes I feel like I'm in Orwell's 1984.   "Eurasia is our ally ...they've always been our ally.  (later)  Eurasia are our enemy....they've always been our enemy"













People need to stop being manipulated by their rulers, and wake-up.  












The greatest threat to America, is its government. We need to stop being afraid of the world, stop thinking military violence is the only way, and start being the ideals we were founded on, individual freedom.  




Many perceived problems around the world will resolve themselves, as they should.  If only we leave them alone.


































 
Link Posted: 1/20/2014 3:08:19 AM EDT
[#26]
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Quoted:
What if China were to ship 100,000 people over hear once a week.  All they do is send unarmed men and women in boats that arrive at random ports.  The people force their way off.  We'll shoot some of them, but after about a month of shooting unarmed people the US would surrender.
View Quote


Mexico's already working that angle.
Link Posted: 1/20/2014 3:41:58 AM EDT
[#27]
Link Posted: 1/20/2014 10:23:02 AM EDT
[#28]
Link Posted: 1/20/2014 11:47:06 AM EDT
[#29]
Interesting... Drudge is reporting a link to this too...


Link Posted: 1/20/2014 2:26:00 PM EDT
[#30]
I found this article interesting from a number of standpoints. First, it's no surprise that the number of retail store shoppers is down. What is somewhat a surprise is that foot traffic is HALF what it was less than 4 years ago. While it's true on-line shopping has increased, it has only increased by a fraction of this. Furthermore, the article indicates that the building of new retail space has gone from roughly 300 million sq. ft. per year to 44. Not only does that say something about the retail trade, it also is a tell on the construction industry since retail space construction used to represent a pretty big chunk of the total construction industry. With new housing running at roughly 1/6th the level it was at the peak, and retail space construction running 1/7th as big, that says there are only enough jobs, in an ongoing basis, for 1/6th to 1/7th as many people. Where, exactly, are these people going to work?

Further, I found the statistics on who's leaving, who's entering, and who's outside the "workforce" worrying. It appears to me that this is a MASSIVE shift in the demographics of employment that goes orders of magnitude beyond simple the baby boomers getting older. Having scads of young people entering working age and yet having fewer and fewer job prospects ultimately will migrate into a full-on depression. There are insufficient numbers of taxpayers who can support the dramatic growth in the exercise of social welfare programs, particularly amongst those in the so-called "sandwich" generation where, in their 40s and 50s, they have children still living at home and dependent upon them while simultaneously having to care for elderly parents who can no longer afford their basic cost of living.

I said this before, and I'm still waiting to see if it comes true, is that I envision at least one major retailer going bust/calling it quits in the first quarter. The author of the article thinks there will be 3 (Sears/Kmart, JCP, RadioShack). Regardless, the notion that 70% of the economy is retail is no longer reality - it simply can't be because there's not enough retail business to make up 70% of the economy. If retail is shrinking by even a fraction of the level of foot traffic and new construction reductions, that would indicate a total retail industry drop of 20-30% in the last 4 years. With the so-called "multiplier" effect, that would mean a total GDP drop of around 50% in the last 4 years. That goes well beyond depression levels to basically a complete collapse level.

Somehow, the numbers just don't add up. And, I'm fairly certain, when they are ultimately added up correctly, it is going to be really, really bad.
Link Posted: 1/20/2014 3:21:39 PM EDT
[#31]





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Originally Posted By planemaker:






I found this article interesting from a number of standpoints. First, it's no surprise that the number of retail store shoppers is down. What is somewhat a surprise is that foot traffic is HALF what it was less than 4 years ago. While it's true on-line shopping has increased, it has only increased by a fraction of this. Furthermore, the article indicates that the building of new retail space has gone from roughly 300 million sq. ft. per year to 44. Not only does that say something about the retail trade, it also is a tell on the construction industry since retail space construction used to represent a pretty big chunk of the total construction industry. With new housing running at roughly 1/6th the level it was at the peak, and retail space construction running 1/7th as big, that says there are only enough jobs, in an ongoing basis, for 1/6th to 1/7th as many people. Where, exactly, are these people going to work?
Further, I found the statistics on who's leaving, who's entering, and who's outside the "workforce" worrying. It appears to me that this is a MASSIVE shift in the demographics of employment that goes orders of magnitude beyond simple the baby boomers getting older. Having scads of young people entering working age and yet having fewer and fewer job prospects ultimately will migrate into a full-on depression. There are insufficient numbers of taxpayers who can support the dramatic growth in the exercise of social welfare programs, particularly amongst those in the so-called "sandwich" generation where, in their 40s and 50s, they have children still living at home and dependent upon them while simultaneously having to care for elderly parents who can no longer afford their basic cost of living.
I said this before, and I'm still waiting to see if it comes true, is that I envision at least one major retailer going bust/calling it quits in the first quarter. The author of the article thinks there will be 3 (Sears/Kmart, JCP, RadioShack). Regardless, the notion that 70% of the economy is retail is no longer reality - it simply can't be because there's not enough retail business to make up 70% of the economy. If retail is shrinking by even a fraction of the level of foot traffic and new construction reductions, that would indicate a total retail industry drop of 20-30% in the last 4 years. With the so-called "multiplier" effect, that would mean a total GDP drop of around 50% in the last 4 years. That goes well beyond depression levels to basically a complete collapse level.
Somehow, the numbers just don't add up. And, I'm fairly certain, when they are ultimately added up correctly, it is going to be really, really bad.
View Quote

 




It's been a masked economic depression all along.  
















This is a systemic problem.   The results of which is a declining standard of living for the vast majority of Americans, and a concentration of wealth.  Good middle class jobs have been and are continuing to be lost.  I'm defining "good" here to mean those offering decent wages, some upward mobility, relative job security, and benefits. This is primarily due to an outdated, but protected and funded by government, Prussian educational system, which has not kept up with changes wrought by technology.   We don't need authoritarian drones anymore.  We don't need as many people who clock into a job to obey directions.   There are fewer and fewer "follow the directions" type jobs anymore, and those that are left don't really pay that well.   We need independent, creative, thinkers.  People capable of creating true marketable value.  But instead we've opted to protect the "old guard", the established players, and industries.    
















In its effort to protect the established wealthy, the Government hopelessly distorted the natural process of economic renewal that should be taking place.  We should not be afraid of letting old and established insurance companies, banks, and manufacturing firms fail.  We should not be afraid of creative destruction, or free-market capitalism.  Americans should not be so afraid of bogeymen, and reality.  They should not be so dependent on other people (government) to protect them.  We should not be trying to preserve wealth, or the status quo. We should not be afraid of natural economic change.
















What should have happened starting in 2008 is a complete and total collapse of the existing financial system.  Probably on a global scale.  It's deformed and broken. We should have also seen massive shifts in wealth.  Instead, Bush and then Obama, along with most Republicans and Democrats opted to try to keep it going, by destroying the free-market, and opting for authoritarian style central economic planning and cronyism.  This has never worked, and it's not going to work this time.
















They've done nothing but prolong the inevitable, and probably made the transition harder and more painful for us all.  The financial system, and Republic, are broken.  
















       
















   




 
Link Posted: 1/20/2014 4:32:07 PM EDT
[#32]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
I found this article interesting from a number of standpoints. First, it's no surprise that the number of retail store shoppers is down. What is somewhat a surprise is that foot traffic is HALF what it was less than 4 years ago. While it's true on-line shopping has increased, it has only increased by a fraction of this. Furthermore, the article indicates that the building of new retail space has gone from roughly 300 million sq. ft. per year to 44. Not only does that say something about the retail trade, it also is a tell on the construction industry since retail space construction used to represent a pretty big chunk of the total construction industry. With new housing running at roughly 1/6th the level it was at the peak, and retail space construction running 1/7th as big, that says there are only enough jobs, in an ongoing basis, for 1/6th to 1/7th as many people. Where, exactly, are these people going to work?

Further, I found the statistics on who's leaving, who's entering, and who's outside the "workforce" worrying. It appears to me that this is a MASSIVE shift in the demographics of employment that goes orders of magnitude beyond simple the baby boomers getting older. Having scads of young people entering working age and yet having fewer and fewer job prospects ultimately will migrate into a full-on depression. There are insufficient numbers of taxpayers who can support the dramatic growth in the exercise of social welfare programs, particularly amongst those in the so-called "sandwich" generation where, in their 40s and 50s, they have children still living at home and dependent upon them while simultaneously having to care for elderly parents who can no longer afford their basic cost of living.

I said this before, and I'm still waiting to see if it comes true, is that I envision at least one major retailer going bust/calling it quits in the first quarter. The author of the article thinks there will be 3 (Sears/Kmart, JCP, RadioShack). Regardless, the notion that 70% of the economy is retail is no longer reality - it simply can't be because there's not enough retail business to make up 70% of the economy. If retail is shrinking by even a fraction of the level of foot traffic and new construction reductions, that would indicate a total retail industry drop of 20-30% in the last 4 years. With the so-called "multiplier" effect, that would mean a total GDP drop of around 50% in the last 4 years. That goes well beyond depression levels to basically a complete collapse level.

Somehow, the numbers just don't add up. And, I'm fairly certain, when they are ultimately added up correctly, it is going to be really, really bad.
View Quote




Plane, you still haven't come to terms that we've been in a 'depression' for over a decade, and that it has been hidden by all sorts of transfer payments and QE.

If one half of those activities were terminated, right now, what do you think would be the result???

I'll tell you one thing, about 2/3rds of the employed folks on this board would likely be out of work.

Just for starters.




Link Posted: 1/20/2014 6:19:46 PM EDT
[#33]
An excellent piece from Victor Davis Hanson, this has it's own thread in GD but thought it very pertinent to this discussion.
GD thread

The Last Generation of the West and the Thin Strand of Civilization


Had the Greeks lost at Salamis, Western civilization might easily have been strangled in its adolescence. Had Hitler not invaded the Soviet Union, the European democracies would have probably remained overwhelmed. And had the Japanese just sidestepped the Philippines and Pearl Harbor, as they gobbled up the orphaned Pacific colonies of a defunct Western Europe, the Pacific World as we know it now might be a far different, far darker place.

I am not engaging in pop counterfactual history, as much as reminding us of how thin the thread of civilization sometimes hangs, both in its beginning and full maturity. Something analogous is happening currently in the 21st-century West. But the old alarmist scenarios — a nuclear exchange, global warming and the melting of the polar ice caps, a new lethal AIDS-like virus — should not be our worry.

Rather our way of life is changing not with a bang, but with a whimper, insidiously and self-inflicted, rather than abruptly and from foreign stimuli. Most of the problem is cultural. Unfortunately it was predicted by a host of pessimistic anti-democratic philosophers from Plato and Aristotle to Hegel and Spengler. I’ve always hoped that these gloom-and-doomers were wrong about the Western paradigm, but some days it becomes harder.

Over 90 million Americans who could work are not working (the “non-institutionalized” over 16). What we take for granted — our electrical power, fuel, building materials, food, health care, and communications — all hinge on just 144 million getting up in the morning to produce what about 160-170 million others (the sick, the young, and the retired who need assistance along with the 90 million idle) consume.

Every three working Americans provide sustenance for two who are not ill, enfeebled, or too young. The former help the disabled, the latter take resources from them. The gang-banger has only disdain for the geek at the mall — until one Saturday night his liver is shredded by gang gunfire and suddenly he whimpers (who is now the real wimp?) that he needs such a Stanford-trained nerd to do sophisticated surgery to get him back in one piece to the carjackings, muggings, assaults, and knockout games — or lawsuits follow!

Given that the number of non-working is growing (an additional 10 million were idled in the Obama “recovery” alone), it is likely to keep growing. At some point, we will hit a 50/50 ratio of idle versus active. Then things will get interesting. The percentage of workers’ pay deducted to pay for the non-working will soar even higher. So will the present redistributive schemes and the borrowing from the unborn.

More at the link
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Link Posted: 1/20/2014 6:30:47 PM EDT
[#34]



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Acts of High-Treason...how many examples do WE need?



They want US to believe it's Gross Incompetence, but these are calculated actions; Political Coup d'etat



F'in Pimps
 




Hmmm, I don't recall GD's head expoding over this ...




With typical arrogance, some Chinese have boasted that their submarines are on alert and prepared to kill between 5 million and 12 million Americans in Western U.S. cities














China's massive military buildup! China spends a quarter of what we spend on their military.















China is not a major threat.  In fact, no nation state on the planet is stupid enough to think they can militarily defeat the United States.  We spend 3 or 4 times the combined military budgets of our enemies.










In fact, the entire planet UNITED against us could not beat us militarily.  We have the largest military budget in the history of the planet.  










The neoconservatives and progressives want us "active" in empire building because there is a lot of money to made in building empires.  But without exception, every single nation that has attempted empire has failed.  But it's different this time?  ....really?
























Our own government is THE threat.  
 
 




The Complete Chinese War Preparedness And Military Update



















 
 
 
Link Posted: 1/20/2014 9:40:40 PM EDT
[#35]
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Plane, you still haven't come to terms that we've been in a 'depression' for over a decade, and that it has been hidden by all sorts of transfer payments and QE.

If one half of those activities were terminated, right now, what do you think would be the result???

I'll tell you one thing, about 2/3rds of the employed folks on this board would likely be out of work.

Just for starters.
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I found this article interesting from a number of standpoints. First, it's no surprise that the number of retail store shoppers is down. What is somewhat a surprise is that foot traffic is HALF what it was less than 4 years ago. While it's true on-line shopping has increased, it has only increased by a fraction of this. Furthermore, the article indicates that the building of new retail space has gone from roughly 300 million sq. ft. per year to 44. Not only does that say something about the retail trade, it also is a tell on the construction industry since retail space construction used to represent a pretty big chunk of the total construction industry. With new housing running at roughly 1/6th the level it was at the peak, and retail space construction running 1/7th as big, that says there are only enough jobs, in an ongoing basis, for 1/6th to 1/7th as many people. Where, exactly, are these people going to work?

Further, I found the statistics on who's leaving, who's entering, and who's outside the "workforce" worrying. It appears to me that this is a MASSIVE shift in the demographics of employment that goes orders of magnitude beyond simple the baby boomers getting older. Having scads of young people entering working age and yet having fewer and fewer job prospects ultimately will migrate into a full-on depression. There are insufficient numbers of taxpayers who can support the dramatic growth in the exercise of social welfare programs, particularly amongst those in the so-called "sandwich" generation where, in their 40s and 50s, they have children still living at home and dependent upon them while simultaneously having to care for elderly parents who can no longer afford their basic cost of living.

I said this before, and I'm still waiting to see if it comes true, is that I envision at least one major retailer going bust/calling it quits in the first quarter. The author of the article thinks there will be 3 (Sears/Kmart, JCP, RadioShack). Regardless, the notion that 70% of the economy is retail is no longer reality - it simply can't be because there's not enough retail business to make up 70% of the economy. If retail is shrinking by even a fraction of the level of foot traffic and new construction reductions, that would indicate a total retail industry drop of 20-30% in the last 4 years. With the so-called "multiplier" effect, that would mean a total GDP drop of around 50% in the last 4 years. That goes well beyond depression levels to basically a complete collapse level.

Somehow, the numbers just don't add up. And, I'm fairly certain, when they are ultimately added up correctly, it is going to be really, really bad.




Plane, you still haven't come to terms that we've been in a 'depression' for over a decade, and that it has been hidden by all sorts of transfer payments and QE.

If one half of those activities were terminated, right now, what do you think would be the result???

I'll tell you one thing, about 2/3rds of the employed folks on this board would likely be out of work.

Just for starters.


See, I'm not buying we've been in a depression for a decade or more. In fact, bubble or not, up until 2007-2008, the construction industry, driven by 3 million new houses a year and 300 million sq ft. of retail space, along with millions of office space being built, was so desperate for workers that the illegals were coming over in hordes and were being put to work the moment they got ANYWHERE. There were whole hispanic, non-English speaking communities that developed in most major metro areas simply because there was THAT much construction being staffed by anyone with a pulse going on. During the same period of time, there was rampant consumer buying, unemployment was at a historically unheard of 4%, even lower than economists ever thought possible, and production (of an admittedly lowered capacity) was running in the high 80s-low 90 percents. One could argue that it was all built on the largest individual, corporate, and national debt binge in the history of the world, but NOONE would sanely argue that period of time, less than 6 years ago, was anything but a booming economic time.

One could also argue that "boom", built on a mirage though it was, was the only reason we had enough headroom to support the collapse in 2007-2009. Had the same collapse happened after a minor recession, we'd already have a complete meltdown by now. My concern is that we're now already at a low ebb economically, and the trends seem to be pointing in a decidedly negative direction. That being the case, the total lack of headroom at all in the economy means that any (or all) minor downturns will be amplified into major ones. With the financial system itself being worse off now than they were in 2008, any minor hiccup will cause systemic upheaval there, too. In addition, we have an administration hell bent on proving that naive, incompetent idealogues can centrally plan lives of everyone in the entire US and is willing to stop at nothing to achieve those ends. Add all that up, and you have a real powderkeg with a well-lit, short fuse.
Link Posted: 1/20/2014 10:58:47 PM EDT
[#36]






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Originally Posted By glockO:
China's massive military buildup! China spends a quarter of what we spend on their military.


















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Originally Posted By glockO:
Quoted:
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Originally Posted By glockO:





Acts of High-Treason...how many examples do WE need?






They want US to believe it's Gross Incompetence, but these are calculated actions; Political Coup d'etat






F'in Pimps
 







Hmmm, I don't recall GD's head expoding over this ...







With typical arrogance, some Chinese have boasted that their submarines are on alert and prepared to kill between 5 million and 12 million Americans in Western U.S. cities


























China's massive military buildup! China spends a quarter of what we spend on their military.






























China is not a major threat.  In fact, no nation state on the planet is stupid enough to think they can militarily defeat the United States.  We spend 3 or 4 times the combined military budgets of our enemies.



















In fact, the entire planet UNITED against us could not beat us militarily.  We have the largest military budget in the history of the planet.  



















The neoconservatives and progressives want us "active" in empire building because there is a lot of money to made in building empires.  But without exception, every single nation that has attempted empire has failed.  But it's different this time?  ....really?













































Our own government is THE threat.  
 
 






The Complete Chinese War Preparedness And Military Update


































     

 





Stop building scarecrows, our own political class is our BIGGEST ACTIVE threat.  Quit chasing ideas that haven't done anything to errode your liberty, standard of living, or way of life, look at those that are actively destroying the Republic, and our economy as we speak.  



















HINT:  It ain't China.


























BUT!  if you want data that will make you go HMMMmmmm.   Who is the greatest threat, based on preperation?


































Now, instead of looking at it from your American point of view, IF you were ANYONE else in the world...who looks like they're gearing up to kill people and break things?  Who has a history of killing people and breaking things?










Combine those two data points and then....THINK.  























 
Link Posted: 1/20/2014 11:55:35 PM EDT
[#37]


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Quoted:


China is not a major threat.  In fact, no nation state on the planet is stupid enough to think they can militarily defeat the United States.  We spend 3 or 4 times the combined military budgets of our enemies.
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Quoted:





Quoted:




Quoted:








China's massive military buildup! China spends a quarter of what we spend on their military.










China is not a major threat.  In fact, no nation state on the planet is stupid enough to think they can militarily defeat the United States.  We spend 3 or 4 times the combined military budgets of our enemies.







In fact, the entire planet UNITED against us could not beat us militarily.  We have the largest military budget in the history of the planet.  







The neoconservatives and progressives want us "active" in empire building because there is a lot of money to made in building empires.  But without exception, every single nation that has attempted empire has failed.  But it's different this time?  ....really?

















Our own government is THE threat.  
 
 


The Complete Chinese War Preparedness And Military Update



















     



 

Stop building scarecrows, our own political class is our BIGGEST ACTIVE threat.  Quit chasing ideas that haven't done anything to errode your liberty, standard of living, or way of life, look at those that are actively destroying the Republic, and our economy as we speak.  







HINT:  It ain't China.












BUT!  if you want data that will make you go HMMMmmmm.   Who is the greatest threat, based on preperation?














Now, instead of looking at it from your American point of view, IF you were ANYONE else in the world...who looks like they're gearing up to kill people and break things?  Who has a history of killing people and breaking things?







Combine those two data points and then....THINK.  










 
I could own a 155' Yacht, but it does me no good if I don't have a Captain to Command the boat





WE have not had a Commander in Chief for 5 years now, and still have to wait at least 3 more years before someone attempts to reign in all the insanity.


The Obama Administration has gotten every Military Policy/Strategy Wrong, and has shown himself to be a Weak Leader, at best


China, Russia, Iran, Muslim Brotherhood, Al Qaeda, Taliban, they all know it & have all called his bluff.


OUR Political Class, Oligarchs, are Traitors to their Nation/Constitution, and only want to Consolidate their portfolios, while paralyzing OUR Military.


F'in Political Pimps





I agree with a lot of what you said, but I don't think WE can act as if 'Weak' Nations can do US no harm Militarily or destabilize regions that can make the Pimps act foolishly...the Chess Game Continues


WE are going to get blamed for much of the coming conflicts, how many fronts can WE watch?


Who are OUR real Allies? and are they even Economically Relevant to make a difference?
 
 
Link Posted: 1/21/2014 5:50:09 AM EDT
[#38]
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See, I'm not buying we've been in a depression for a decade or more. In fact, bubble or not, up until 2007-2008, the construction industry, driven by 3 million new houses a year and 300 million sq ft. of retail space, along with millions of office space being built, was so desperate for workers that the illegals were coming over in hordes and were being put to work the moment they got ANYWHERE. There were whole hispanic, non-English speaking communities that developed in most major metro areas simply because there was THAT much construction being staffed by anyone with a pulse going on. During the same period of time, there was rampant consumer buying, unemployment was at a historically unheard of 4%, even lower than economists ever thought possible, and production (of an admittedly lowered capacity) was running in the high 80s-low 90 percents. One could argue that it was all built on the largest individual, corporate, and national debt binge in the history of the world, but NOONE would sanely argue that period of time, less than 6 years ago, was anything but a booming economic time.

One could also argue that "boom", built on a mirage though it was, was the only reason we had enough headroom to support the collapse in 2007-2009. Had the same collapse happened after a minor recession, we'd already have a complete meltdown by now. My concern is that we're now already at a low ebb economically, and the trends seem to be pointing in a decidedly negative direction. That being the case, the total lack of headroom at all in the economy means that any (or all) minor downturns will be amplified into major ones. With the financial system itself being worse off now than they were in 2008, any minor hiccup will cause systemic upheaval there, too. In addition, we have an administration hell bent on proving that naive, incompetent idealogues can centrally plan lives of everyone in the entire US and is willing to stop at nothing to achieve those ends. Add all that up, and you have a real powderkeg with a well-lit, short fuse.
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I found this article interesting from a number of standpoints. First, it's no surprise that the number of retail store shoppers is down. What is somewhat a surprise is that foot traffic is HALF what it was less than 4 years ago. While it's true on-line shopping has increased, it has only increased by a fraction of this. Furthermore, the article indicates that the building of new retail space has gone from roughly 300 million sq. ft. per year to 44. Not only does that say something about the retail trade, it also is a tell on the construction industry since retail space construction used to represent a pretty big chunk of the total construction industry. With new housing running at roughly 1/6th the level it was at the peak, and retail space construction running 1/7th as big, that says there are only enough jobs, in an ongoing basis, for 1/6th to 1/7th as many people. Where, exactly, are these people going to work?

Further, I found the statistics on who's leaving, who's entering, and who's outside the "workforce" worrying. It appears to me that this is a MASSIVE shift in the demographics of employment that goes orders of magnitude beyond simple the baby boomers getting older. Having scads of young people entering working age and yet having fewer and fewer job prospects ultimately will migrate into a full-on depression. There are insufficient numbers of taxpayers who can support the dramatic growth in the exercise of social welfare programs, particularly amongst those in the so-called "sandwich" generation where, in their 40s and 50s, they have children still living at home and dependent upon them while simultaneously having to care for elderly parents who can no longer afford their basic cost of living.

I said this before, and I'm still waiting to see if it comes true, is that I envision at least one major retailer going bust/calling it quits in the first quarter. The author of the article thinks there will be 3 (Sears/Kmart, JCP, RadioShack). Regardless, the notion that 70% of the economy is retail is no longer reality - it simply can't be because there's not enough retail business to make up 70% of the economy. If retail is shrinking by even a fraction of the level of foot traffic and new construction reductions, that would indicate a total retail industry drop of 20-30% in the last 4 years. With the so-called "multiplier" effect, that would mean a total GDP drop of around 50% in the last 4 years. That goes well beyond depression levels to basically a complete collapse level.

Somehow, the numbers just don't add up. And, I'm fairly certain, when they are ultimately added up correctly, it is going to be really, really bad.




Plane, you still haven't come to terms that we've been in a 'depression' for over a decade, and that it has been hidden by all sorts of transfer payments and QE.

If one half of those activities were terminated, right now, what do you think would be the result???

I'll tell you one thing, about 2/3rds of the employed folks on this board would likely be out of work.

Just for starters.


See, I'm not buying we've been in a depression for a decade or more. In fact, bubble or not, up until 2007-2008, the construction industry, driven by 3 million new houses a year and 300 million sq ft. of retail space, along with millions of office space being built, was so desperate for workers that the illegals were coming over in hordes and were being put to work the moment they got ANYWHERE. There were whole hispanic, non-English speaking communities that developed in most major metro areas simply because there was THAT much construction being staffed by anyone with a pulse going on. During the same period of time, there was rampant consumer buying, unemployment was at a historically unheard of 4%, even lower than economists ever thought possible, and production (of an admittedly lowered capacity) was running in the high 80s-low 90 percents. One could argue that it was all built on the largest individual, corporate, and national debt binge in the history of the world, but NOONE would sanely argue that period of time, less than 6 years ago, was anything but a booming economic time.

One could also argue that "boom", built on a mirage though it was, was the only reason we had enough headroom to support the collapse in 2007-2009. Had the same collapse happened after a minor recession, we'd already have a complete meltdown by now. My concern is that we're now already at a low ebb economically, and the trends seem to be pointing in a decidedly negative direction. That being the case, the total lack of headroom at all in the economy means that any (or all) minor downturns will be amplified into major ones. With the financial system itself being worse off now than they were in 2008, any minor hiccup will cause systemic upheaval there, too. In addition, we have an administration hell bent on proving that naive, incompetent idealogues can centrally plan lives of everyone in the entire US and is willing to stop at nothing to achieve those ends. Add all that up, and you have a real powderkeg with a well-lit, short fuse.


I'm not sure how you can consider it a booming economic time when everything was being run on credit. Then to top it off a lot of the money the illegals were making was sent back to their native country.
Link Posted: 1/21/2014 8:03:34 AM EDT
[#39]
Link Posted: 1/21/2014 9:35:34 AM EDT
[#40]






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Originally Posted By planemaker:
See, I'm not buying we've been in a depression for a decade or more. In fact, bubble or not, up until 2007-2008, the construction industry, driven by 3 million new houses a year and 300 million sq ft. of retail space, along with millions of office space being built, was so desperate for workers that the illegals were coming over in hordes and were being put to work the moment they got ANYWHERE. There were whole hispanic, non-English speaking communities that developed in most major metro areas simply because there was THAT much construction being staffed by anyone with a pulse going on. During the same period of time, there was rampant consumer buying, unemployment was at a historically unheard of 4%, even lower than economists ever thought possible, and production (of an admittedly lowered capacity) was running in the high 80s-low 90 percents. One could argue that it was all built on the largest individual, corporate, and national debt binge in the history of the world, but NOONE would sanely argue that period of time, less than 6 years ago, was anything but a booming economic time.
One could also argue that "boom", built on a mirage though it was, was the only reason we had enough headroom to support the collapse in 2007-2009. Had the same collapse happened after a minor recession, we'd already have a complete meltdown by now. My concern is that we're now already at a low ebb economically, and the trends seem to be pointing in a decidedly negative direction. That being the case, the total lack of headroom at all in the economy means that any (or all) minor downturns will be amplified into major ones. With the financial system itself being worse off now than they were in 2008, any minor hiccup will cause systemic upheaval there, too. In addition, we have an administration hell bent on proving that naive, incompetent idealogues can centrally plan lives of everyone in the entire US and is willing to stop at nothing to achieve those ends. Add all that up, and you have a real powderkeg with a well-lit, short fuse.






View Quote

 





I don't think the economic "depression" part of this wave, did begin until 2008, marked by the collapse of the free-market global financial system.   The years just prior to that, 2000-2007 were part of the Fed's engineered housing bubble.  Greenspan was clear, after the  dotcom bubble collapsed, the Fed intended to inflate the real estate market by keeping interest rates artificially low. (too lazy to look up the specific speech from 1999 or 2000, where he outlined this, but it's out there.)



















The Fed succeeded, and yes a lot of construction jobs were created.   But during the same time median household income steadily declined.  That's just a fact.  The data is there to see. (Again, too lazy to look up)  The central planners actually managed a recovery, of sorts, but it was a one trick pony.  ....an EXPLODING one trick pony.  













The main difference between Austrian and London schools of economics, or Hayek and Keynes is how to address the business cycle.  Both schools of though acknowledge that it exists.   Everything moves in cycles.  It was Keynes and his disciples who now dominate the study of economics, and control global monetary policy, that believed the business cycle could be mitigated through central planning. Think of these folks as the "authoritarians" of economics.  They believe that a few smart people can manage the lives of masses better than the masses can manage their own life.  Which is why Keyne's ideas  were actually thought of as communistic in nature.  When Nixon oversaw the default of the dollar in 1971, and closed the gold window, Milton Friedman coined the phrase which is attributed to Nixon "...we're all Keynesians now..."  













I believe what we are experiencing is the economic "blowback" for half a century of Keynesian economic distortions.   The business cycle of boom and busts is GOOD.  It's natural.  The occasional economic wildfire keeps the "debris" from building up on the economies floor.  It kills off old and weak trees and makes room for new growth.  If you fight it, you will eventually end up with mega economic fire.  













In my opinion (and others), IF Hoover and Roosevelt had just kept their hands off the economy during the 1930's the Great Depression wouldn't have been so great. But they didn't, and their actions prolonged it until 1947 (Yeap WWII didn't end the Great Depression... just masked it).













The only thing that is proven to work is individual freedom, and its economic proxy the free-market.   Central planning doesn't work, collectivism doesn't work, and big government doesn't work.    




If we want to save ourselves, we'd dramatically cut government and reduce laws and regulations.  We would eliminate any and all "central planning" and increase individual freedom.   The Wisdom of Crowds would save us, not the authoritarians.  










































































 


 
Link Posted: 1/21/2014 11:33:18 AM EDT
[#41]
PLANE, all the glorious economic activity you cited happening in the mid-2000's, was mostly Greenspan's desperate attempt to re-inflate with wildly available debt and favorable interest rates, [mostly to the housing and RE market],  ---plus the huge .gov deficit spending, [especially in the .mil-industrial complex, the WOD's and the WOT[error]]  after the tech bust ---during the beginning of 2000.

He was trying to prevent an economic meltdown, by kicking the can down the road still another time.

As most any thoughtful person could predict, his debt bubble blew up about 2007.


I assert again, had it not been for the crazy deficit spending and ridiculous debt creation of over 2 decades, we would have SEEN [and felt    ] that we were in a massive deflation depression worse than the 30's.


Plane, as intelligent and aware as you are, I can't believe you don't understand this.....



Link Posted: 1/21/2014 11:47:14 AM EDT
[#42]
I watched the Sillycone Valley industrial park occupancy for decades, as one indicator of our economic climate.

Pretty good indicator...



Pretty friggin sad -today. Makes you want to cry...


Pretty friggin sad none of the Hi IQ Idiots trying to manipulate our economy the past 40 years, couldn't see their ass from a hole in the ground.

Now we have Leftists in power and their goal is to use the economic depression we DON'T KNOW  we're in, [and are FOOLING ourselves about], to steal our country, in an updated process they have used on other countries for over a hundred years, and it's working beautifully for them.




Enjoy your freedoms Sheeple...

As long as you do whatcher told...

Before you're herded up...




Link Posted: 1/21/2014 12:05:06 PM EDT
[#43]
Hi IQ Idiots   ---suck.

Then, and now.

They talk a lot of fancy bloviating horse shit analysis, and still don't know the difference in their dope addled brains, between their ass and a pot of coffee...




Link Posted: 1/21/2014 3:54:40 PM EDT
[#44]
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Quoted:

  I don't think the economic "depression" part of this wave, did begin until 2008, marked by the collapse of the free-market global financial system.   The years just prior to that, 2000-2007 were part of the Fed's engineered housing bubble.  Greenspan was clear, after the  dotcom bubble collapsed, the Fed intended to inflate the real estate market by keeping interest rates artificially low. (too lazy to look up the specific speech from 1999 or 2000, where he outlined this, but it's out there.)

The Fed succeeded, and yes a lot of construction jobs were created.   But during the same time median household income steadily declined.  That's just a fact.  The data is there to see. (Again, too lazy to look up)  The central planners actually managed a recovery, of sorts, but it was a one trick pony.  ....an EXPLODING one trick pony.  

The main difference between Austrian and London schools of economics, or Hayek and Keynes is how to address the business cycle.  Both schools of though acknowledge that it exists.   Everything moves in cycles.  It was Keynes and his disciples who now dominate the study of economics, and control global monetary policy, that believed the business cycle could be mitigated through central planning. Think of these folks as the "authoritarians" of economics.  They believe that a few smart people can manage the lives of masses better than the masses can manage their own life.  Which is why Keyne's ideas  were actually thought of as communistic in nature.  When Nixon oversaw the default of the dollar in 1971, and closed the gold window, Milton Friedman coined the phrase which is attributed to Nixon "...we're all Keynesians now..."  

I believe what we are experiencing is the economic "blowback" for half a century of Keynesian economic distortions.   The business cycle of boom and busts is GOOD.  It's natural.  The occasional economic wildfire keeps the "debris" from building up on the economies floor.  It kills off old and weak trees and makes room for new growth.  If you fight it, you will eventually end up with mega economic fire.  

In my opinion (and others), IF Hoover and Roosevelt had just kept their hands off the economy during the 1930's the Great Depression wouldn't have been so great. But they didn't, and their actions prolonged it until 1947 (Yeap WWII didn't end the Great Depression... just masked it).

The only thing that is proven to work is individual freedom, and its economic proxy the free-market.   Central planning doesn't work, collectivism doesn't work, and big government doesn't work.    

If we want to save ourselves, we'd dramatically cut government and reduce laws and regulations.  We would eliminate any and all "central planning" and increase individual freedom.   The Wisdom of Crowds would save us, not the authoritarians.  

   
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Originally Posted By planemaker:

See, I'm not buying we've been in a depression for a decade or more. In fact, bubble or not, up until 2007-2008, the construction industry, driven by 3 million new houses a year and 300 million sq ft. of retail space, along with millions of office space being built, was so desperate for workers that the illegals were coming over in hordes and were being put to work the moment they got ANYWHERE. There were whole hispanic, non-English speaking communities that developed in most major metro areas simply because there was THAT much construction being staffed by anyone with a pulse going on. During the same period of time, there was rampant consumer buying, unemployment was at a historically unheard of 4%, even lower than economists ever thought possible, and production (of an admittedly lowered capacity) was running in the high 80s-low 90 percents. One could argue that it was all built on the largest individual, corporate, and national debt binge in the history of the world, but NOONE would sanely argue that period of time, less than 6 years ago, was anything but a booming economic time.

One could also argue that "boom", built on a mirage though it was, was the only reason we had enough headroom to support the collapse in 2007-2009. Had the same collapse happened after a minor recession, we'd already have a complete meltdown by now. My concern is that we're now already at a low ebb economically, and the trends seem to be pointing in a decidedly negative direction. That being the case, the total lack of headroom at all in the economy means that any (or all) minor downturns will be amplified into major ones. With the financial system itself being worse off now than they were in 2008, any minor hiccup will cause systemic upheaval there, too. In addition, we have an administration hell bent on proving that naive, incompetent idealogues can centrally plan lives of everyone in the entire US and is willing to stop at nothing to achieve those ends. Add all that up, and you have a real powderkeg with a well-lit, short fuse.

  I don't think the economic "depression" part of this wave, did begin until 2008, marked by the collapse of the free-market global financial system.   The years just prior to that, 2000-2007 were part of the Fed's engineered housing bubble.  Greenspan was clear, after the  dotcom bubble collapsed, the Fed intended to inflate the real estate market by keeping interest rates artificially low. (too lazy to look up the specific speech from 1999 or 2000, where he outlined this, but it's out there.)

The Fed succeeded, and yes a lot of construction jobs were created.   But during the same time median household income steadily declined.  That's just a fact.  The data is there to see. (Again, too lazy to look up)  The central planners actually managed a recovery, of sorts, but it was a one trick pony.  ....an EXPLODING one trick pony.  

The main difference between Austrian and London schools of economics, or Hayek and Keynes is how to address the business cycle.  Both schools of though acknowledge that it exists.   Everything moves in cycles.  It was Keynes and his disciples who now dominate the study of economics, and control global monetary policy, that believed the business cycle could be mitigated through central planning. Think of these folks as the "authoritarians" of economics.  They believe that a few smart people can manage the lives of masses better than the masses can manage their own life.  Which is why Keyne's ideas  were actually thought of as communistic in nature.  When Nixon oversaw the default of the dollar in 1971, and closed the gold window, Milton Friedman coined the phrase which is attributed to Nixon "...we're all Keynesians now..."  

I believe what we are experiencing is the economic "blowback" for half a century of Keynesian economic distortions.   The business cycle of boom and busts is GOOD.  It's natural.  The occasional economic wildfire keeps the "debris" from building up on the economies floor.  It kills off old and weak trees and makes room for new growth.  If you fight it, you will eventually end up with mega economic fire.  

In my opinion (and others), IF Hoover and Roosevelt had just kept their hands off the economy during the 1930's the Great Depression wouldn't have been so great. But they didn't, and their actions prolonged it until 1947 (Yeap WWII didn't end the Great Depression... just masked it).

The only thing that is proven to work is individual freedom, and its economic proxy the free-market.   Central planning doesn't work, collectivism doesn't work, and big government doesn't work.    

If we want to save ourselves, we'd dramatically cut government and reduce laws and regulations.  We would eliminate any and all "central planning" and increase individual freedom.   The Wisdom of Crowds would save us, not the authoritarians.  

   


Indeed. Note the part in red above. Not only was the "boom" of the construction bubble (not just housing) built on credit, but since the 2008 fiasco, virtually all of the supposed "recovery" has been created with non-existent money, not even credit, just artificial hot air. The massive wealth transfer that has occurred in the last 5 years is absolutely staggering. Then, to top it off, the commie-pinko brigade has the gall to complain about income inequality. Well, gee mister Kommizar, maybe if you hadn't created the problem in the first place, the solution would be obvious.

I find it interesting that noone in the centers of .gov seems to recognize when you're stuck deep in the hole, your very first action should be to STOP DIGGING!

In times gone by, the Fed would use interest rates as a sort of "regulator" on the economy, thinking that increasing rates would slow the economy, decreasing rates would stimulate the economy. The problem seems to be that the PinHeadDummies (PhDs) at the Fed failed to recognize when that strategery no longer worked. Indeed the last time that strategy was even mildly effective was back in the early 80s to tame the stagflation of Jimmy Carter during Reagan's first term. All this round of artificially low interest rates has caused is currency debasement and decimation of the ability of working-class people to save for their retirement (or even live off the retirement they had already put together). And, again, they are puzzled why the retirement-aged workers are not retiring. Well, DUH!
Link Posted: 1/22/2014 10:05:28 AM EDT
[#45]
To top off the loveliest economy in the world, we have the price of bacon jumps 55% in four years. That's before the most recent spike supposedly due to some kind of swine plague that is killing off thousands of young piglets. Around here, the price of a lb. of bacon at the store is right at double what it was even a year ago.

OMG, @@PEAK BACON@@!! THINK OF THE CHILDREN!!!!

Link Posted: 1/22/2014 11:21:37 AM EDT
[#46]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Indeed. Note the part in red above. Not only was the "boom" of the construction bubble (not just housing) built on credit, but since the 2008 fiasco, virtually all of the supposed "recovery" has been created with non-existent money, not even credit, just artificial hot air. The massive wealth transfer that has occurred in the last 5 years is absolutely staggering. Then, to top it off, the commie-pinko brigade has the gall to complain about income inequality. Well, gee mister Kommizar, maybe if you hadn't created the problem in the first place, the solution would be obvious.

I find it interesting that noone in the centers of .gov seems to recognize when you're stuck deep in the hole, your very first action should be to STOP DIGGING!

In times gone by, the Fed would use interest rates as a sort of "regulator" on the economy, thinking that increasing rates would slow the economy, decreasing rates would stimulate the economy. The problem seems to be that the PinHeadDummies (PhDs) at the Fed failed to recognize when that strategery no longer worked. Indeed the last time that strategy was even mildly effective was back in the early 80s to tame the stagflation of Jimmy Carter during Reagan's first term. All this round of artificially low interest rates has caused is currency debasement and decimation of the ability of working-class people to save for their retirement (or even live off the retirement they had already put together). And, again, they are puzzled why the retirement-aged workers are not retiring. Well, DUH!
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Originally Posted By planemaker:

See, I'm not buying we've been in a depression for a decade or more. In fact, bubble or not, up until 2007-2008, the construction industry, driven by 3 million new houses a year and 300 million sq ft. of retail space, along with millions of office space being built, was so desperate for workers that the illegals were coming over in hordes and were being put to work the moment they got ANYWHERE. There were whole hispanic, non-English speaking communities that developed in most major metro areas simply because there was THAT much construction being staffed by anyone with a pulse going on. During the same period of time, there was rampant consumer buying, unemployment was at a historically unheard of 4%, even lower than economists ever thought possible, and production (of an admittedly lowered capacity) was running in the high 80s-low 90 percents. One could argue that it was all built on the largest individual, corporate, and national debt binge in the history of the world, but NOONE would sanely argue that period of time, less than 6 years ago, was anything but a booming economic time.

One could also argue that "boom", built on a mirage though it was, was the only reason we had enough headroom to support the collapse in 2007-2009. Had the same collapse happened after a minor recession, we'd already have a complete meltdown by now. My concern is that we're now already at a low ebb economically, and the trends seem to be pointing in a decidedly negative direction. That being the case, the total lack of headroom at all in the economy means that any (or all) minor downturns will be amplified into major ones. With the financial system itself being worse off now than they were in 2008, any minor hiccup will cause systemic upheaval there, too. In addition, we have an administration hell bent on proving that naive, incompetent idealogues can centrally plan lives of everyone in the entire US and is willing to stop at nothing to achieve those ends. Add all that up, and you have a real powderkeg with a well-lit, short fuse.

  I don't think the economic "depression" part of this wave, did begin until 2008, marked by the collapse of the free-market global financial system.   The years just prior to that, 2000-2007 were part of the Fed's engineered housing bubble.  Greenspan was clear, after the  dotcom bubble collapsed, the Fed intended to inflate the real estate market by keeping interest rates artificially low. (too lazy to look up the specific speech from 1999 or 2000, where he outlined this, but it's out there.)

The Fed succeeded, and yes a lot of construction jobs were created.   But during the same time median household income steadily declined.  That's just a fact.  The data is there to see. (Again, too lazy to look up)  The central planners actually managed a recovery, of sorts, but it was a one trick pony.  ....an EXPLODING one trick pony.  

The main difference between Austrian and London schools of economics, or Hayek and Keynes is how to address the business cycle.  Both schools of though acknowledge that it exists.   Everything moves in cycles.  It was Keynes and his disciples who now dominate the study of economics, and control global monetary policy, that believed the business cycle could be mitigated through central planning. Think of these folks as the "authoritarians" of economics.  They believe that a few smart people can manage the lives of masses better than the masses can manage their own life.  Which is why Keyne's ideas  were actually thought of as communistic in nature.  When Nixon oversaw the default of the dollar in 1971, and closed the gold window, Milton Friedman coined the phrase which is attributed to Nixon "...we're all Keynesians now..."  

I believe what we are experiencing is the economic "blowback" for half a century of Keynesian economic distortions.   The business cycle of boom and busts is GOOD.  It's natural.  The occasional economic wildfire keeps the "debris" from building up on the economies floor.  It kills off old and weak trees and makes room for new growth.  If you fight it, you will eventually end up with mega economic fire.  

In my opinion (and others), IF Hoover and Roosevelt had just kept their hands off the economy during the 1930's the Great Depression wouldn't have been so great. But they didn't, and their actions prolonged it until 1947 (Yeap WWII didn't end the Great Depression... just masked it).

The only thing that is proven to work is individual freedom, and its economic proxy the free-market.   Central planning doesn't work, collectivism doesn't work, and big government doesn't work.    

If we want to save ourselves, we'd dramatically cut government and reduce laws and regulations.  We would eliminate any and all "central planning" and increase individual freedom.   The Wisdom of Crowds would save us, not the authoritarians.  

   


Indeed. Note the part in red above. Not only was the "boom" of the construction bubble (not just housing) built on credit, but since the 2008 fiasco, virtually all of the supposed "recovery" has been created with non-existent money, not even credit, just artificial hot air. The massive wealth transfer that has occurred in the last 5 years is absolutely staggering. Then, to top it off, the commie-pinko brigade has the gall to complain about income inequality. Well, gee mister Kommizar, maybe if you hadn't created the problem in the first place, the solution would be obvious.

I find it interesting that noone in the centers of .gov seems to recognize when you're stuck deep in the hole, your very first action should be to STOP DIGGING!

In times gone by, the Fed would use interest rates as a sort of "regulator" on the economy, thinking that increasing rates would slow the economy, decreasing rates would stimulate the economy. The problem seems to be that the PinHeadDummies (PhDs) at the Fed failed to recognize when that strategery no longer worked. Indeed the last time that strategy was even mildly effective was back in the early 80s to tame the stagflation of Jimmy Carter during Reagan's first term. All this round of artificially low interest rates has caused is currency debasement and decimation of the ability of working-class people to save for their retirement (or even live off the retirement they had already put together). And, again, they are puzzled why the retirement-aged workers are not retiring. Well, DUH!




Plane, It's called...

The Engineered Destruction of the Middle Class!

I'm sure you must have heard that phrase before...




Link Posted: 1/22/2014 12:33:56 PM EDT
[#47]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
To top off the loveliest economy in the world, we have the price of bacon jumps 55% in four years. That's before the most recent spike supposedly due to some kind of swine plague that is killing off thousands of young piglets. Around here, the price of a lb. of bacon at the store is right at double what it was even a year ago.

OMG, @@PEAK BACON@@!! THINK OF THE CHILDREN!!!!

View Quote


Maybe it is an islamic terrorist attack?

OOPS - I think I might be on another list now.
Link Posted: 1/22/2014 3:51:23 PM EDT
[#48]
Link Posted: 1/23/2014 6:56:39 AM EDT
[#49]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Indeed. Note the part in red above. Not only was the "boom" of the construction bubble (not just housing) built on credit, but since the 2008 fiasco, virtually all of the supposed "recovery" has been created with non-existent money, not even credit, just artificial hot air. The massive wealth transfer that has occurred in the last 5 years is absolutely staggering. Then, to top it off, the commie-pinko brigade has the gall to complain about income inequality. Well, gee mister Kommizar, maybe if you hadn't created the problem in the first place, the solution would be obvious.

I find it interesting that noone in the centers of .gov seems to recognize when you're stuck deep in the hole, your very first action should be to STOP DIGGING!

In times gone by, the Fed would use interest rates as a sort of "regulator" on the economy, thinking that increasing rates would slow the economy, decreasing rates would stimulate the economy. The problem seems to be that the PinHeadDummies (PhDs) at the Fed failed to recognize when that strategery no longer worked. Indeed the last time that strategy was even mildly effective was back in the early 80s to tame the stagflation of Jimmy Carter during Reagan's first term. All this round of artificially low interest rates has caused is currency debasement and decimation of the ability of working-class people to save for their retirement (or even live off the retirement they had already put together). And, again, they are puzzled why the retirement-aged workers are not retiring. Well, DUH!
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Originally Posted By planemaker:

See, I'm not buying we've been in a depression for a decade or more. In fact, bubble or not, up until 2007-2008, the construction industry, driven by 3 million new houses a year and 300 million sq ft. of retail space, along with millions of office space being built, was so desperate for workers that the illegals were coming over in hordes and were being put to work the moment they got ANYWHERE. There were whole hispanic, non-English speaking communities that developed in most major metro areas simply because there was THAT much construction being staffed by anyone with a pulse going on. During the same period of time, there was rampant consumer buying, unemployment was at a historically unheard of 4%, even lower than economists ever thought possible, and production (of an admittedly lowered capacity) was running in the high 80s-low 90 percents. One could argue that it was all built on the largest individual, corporate, and national debt binge in the history of the world, but NOONE would sanely argue that period of time, less than 6 years ago, was anything but a booming economic time.

One could also argue that "boom", built on a mirage though it was, was the only reason we had enough headroom to support the collapse in 2007-2009. Had the same collapse happened after a minor recession, we'd already have a complete meltdown by now. My concern is that we're now already at a low ebb economically, and the trends seem to be pointing in a decidedly negative direction. That being the case, the total lack of headroom at all in the economy means that any (or all) minor downturns will be amplified into major ones. With the financial system itself being worse off now than they were in 2008, any minor hiccup will cause systemic upheaval there, too. In addition, we have an administration hell bent on proving that naive, incompetent idealogues can centrally plan lives of everyone in the entire US and is willing to stop at nothing to achieve those ends. Add all that up, and you have a real powderkeg with a well-lit, short fuse.

  I don't think the economic "depression" part of this wave, did begin until 2008, marked by the collapse of the free-market global financial system.   The years just prior to that, 2000-2007 were part of the Fed's engineered housing bubble.  Greenspan was clear, after the  dotcom bubble collapsed, the Fed intended to inflate the real estate market by keeping interest rates artificially low. (too lazy to look up the specific speech from 1999 or 2000, where he outlined this, but it's out there.)

The Fed succeeded, and yes a lot of construction jobs were created.   But during the same time median household income steadily declined.  That's just a fact.  The data is there to see. (Again, too lazy to look up)  The central planners actually managed a recovery, of sorts, but it was a one trick pony.  ....an EXPLODING one trick pony.  

The main difference between Austrian and London schools of economics, or Hayek and Keynes is how to address the business cycle.  Both schools of though acknowledge that it exists.   Everything moves in cycles.  It was Keynes and his disciples who now dominate the study of economics, and control global monetary policy, that believed the business cycle could be mitigated through central planning. Think of these folks as the "authoritarians" of economics.  They believe that a few smart people can manage the lives of masses better than the masses can manage their own life.  Which is why Keyne's ideas  were actually thought of as communistic in nature.  When Nixon oversaw the default of the dollar in 1971, and closed the gold window, Milton Friedman coined the phrase which is attributed to Nixon "...we're all Keynesians now..."  

I believe what we are experiencing is the economic "blowback" for half a century of Keynesian economic distortions.   The business cycle of boom and busts is GOOD.  It's natural.  The occasional economic wildfire keeps the "debris" from building up on the economies floor.  It kills off old and weak trees and makes room for new growth.  If you fight it, you will eventually end up with mega economic fire.  

In my opinion (and others), IF Hoover and Roosevelt had just kept their hands off the economy during the 1930's the Great Depression wouldn't have been so great. But they didn't, and their actions prolonged it until 1947 (Yeap WWII didn't end the Great Depression... just masked it).

The only thing that is proven to work is individual freedom, and its economic proxy the free-market.   Central planning doesn't work, collectivism doesn't work, and big government doesn't work.    

If we want to save ourselves, we'd dramatically cut government and reduce laws and regulations.  We would eliminate any and all "central planning" and increase individual freedom.   The Wisdom of Crowds would save us, not the authoritarians.  

   


Indeed. Note the part in red above. Not only was the "boom" of the construction bubble (not just housing) built on credit, but since the 2008 fiasco, virtually all of the supposed "recovery" has been created with non-existent money, not even credit, just artificial hot air. The massive wealth transfer that has occurred in the last 5 years is absolutely staggering. Then, to top it off, the commie-pinko brigade has the gall to complain about income inequality. Well, gee mister Kommizar, maybe if you hadn't created the problem in the first place, the solution would be obvious.

I find it interesting that noone in the centers of .gov seems to recognize when you're stuck deep in the hole, your very first action should be to STOP DIGGING!

In times gone by, the Fed would use interest rates as a sort of "regulator" on the economy, thinking that increasing rates would slow the economy, decreasing rates would stimulate the economy. The problem seems to be that the PinHeadDummies (PhDs) at the Fed failed to recognize when that strategery no longer worked. Indeed the last time that strategy was even mildly effective was back in the early 80s to tame the stagflation of Jimmy Carter during Reagan's first term. All this round of artificially low interest rates has caused is currency debasement and decimation of the ability of working-class people to save for their retirement (or even live off the retirement they had already put together). And, again, they are puzzled why the retirement-aged workers are not retiring. Well, DUH!


You are assuming the result of their actions is a surprise and not the intended result.

Frankly, you are only seeing half the picture.
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