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6/17/2013 4:21:35 PM
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Squid1
Joshua Longsack
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Posted: 4/30/2012 12:19:28 PM
[Last Edit: 4/30/2012 9:12:34 PM by Squid1]

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Now it's a lock on a bufalooooooooooo...-SYSTEM
Mike_c130
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Posted: 4/30/2012 6:49:14 PM
[Last Edit: 4/30/2012 9:35:19 PM by Mike_c130]
Originally Posted By Squid1:
I could really use some help here. Any input would be greatly appreciated.


probability question using dice as a proxy


OK, so you are looking for the probability that the die will come up red on any given roll. Consider this a '1' for that die. Therefore, the chance that it will come up red is the same as rolling a '1' on a 12-sided die. The chance of rolling a 1 is 1 in 12.

The chance of rolling a '1' is independent of the previous rolls. The chance of decay is therefore always 1/12 for the next roll, or 11/12 that it will not decay. Since a die can only decay once, and will be 'out of play' once it does, you calculate the odds of it not decaying over a given number of turns, which for n turns would be (11/12)^n. That should let you calculate the answers for all of the questions.

Mike
Squid1
Joshua Longsack
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Posted: 4/30/2012 9:14:22 PM
Thanks a bunch, Mike. i got it sorted out. would you mind editing my text out of your quote? I'd hate for the prof to see my blatant copy and paste of his question.
Now it's a lock on a bufalooooooooooo...-SYSTEM