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Posted: 9/20/2014 1:35:38 AM EDT
I've been watching Sea Drill drop like a rock for the last couple months, along with a sizable chunk of my portfolio...  

Still a sound investment?

Good time to buy?
Link Posted: 9/21/2014 1:26:37 PM EDT
[#1]
Looks like trying to catch a falling knife.

Who knows how the sanctions against Russia will play out?

Maybe I am wrong, but I would be patient with this one.
Link Posted: 9/22/2014 7:08:35 AM EDT
[#2]
I'm in for a small chunk at $34.



I wouldn't buy more- doubleing down on a loser has never worked out for me.




But, they say the div is solid thru 2016 so I'm going to hold on the rational that a lot of the current head winds will clear by then and the share price will eventually recover.




I like dividends.
Link Posted: 9/23/2014 5:12:09 PM EDT
[#3]
I am considering getting back into it myself. I sold my SDRL a month ago around $39/share. I may dump that right back into it now.
Link Posted: 9/25/2014 2:23:55 PM EDT
[#4]
I am not a financial adviser, I am not offering financial advice. Below is my opinion of the future direction of price from a technical standpoint only.

Institutions move prices. There is no technical evidence that there is institutional purchasing at this time. The smart money were dumping this stock in the $33-$39 range.

$32 will offer an exceptional amount of technical resistance (sellers) at this point.

I would look for a dead cat bounce (slightly higher prices with low amounts of volume) then continuing a furtherance of momentum to the downside.

Link Posted: 10/1/2014 2:53:17 PM EDT
[#5]
This is getting stupid. Currently trading at 3x earnings.
Link Posted: 10/4/2014 3:56:51 PM EDT
[#6]
I would like to risk a grand.   Anyone else have an opinion.   3p/e is pretty low
Link Posted: 10/5/2014 12:48:05 AM EDT
[#7]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
I would like to risk a grand.   Anyone else have an opinion.   3p/e is pretty low
View Quote

I bought Apple at ~70$years ago (7$ at today's price) sold it at 7.50.
i missed out on Tesla in the 40's because they didn't pay a dividend.  Although i did later buy at 170 and sell at 250 in less than a month.

Point is you never know. I know nothing about this company. But my initial gut reaction is if they are tied heavily to Russia i would avoid investing in them, or invest less than than i usually do.
Link Posted: 10/6/2014 5:51:31 PM EDT
[#8]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
I would like to risk a grand.   Anyone else have an opinion.   3p/e is pretty low
View Quote


Without looking a P/E of 3 indicates either a mathematical fluke or some serious issues brewing.  I'd be scurred to death of putting money into that unless I knew what those issues were and could rationalize to myself why those issues were not going to be as big of a deal as the market thinks they will be.  The market is valuing the company at 3 times earnings for a reason.  You need to know what that reason is otherwise you are just a bag holder.

For example, I bought BP at the height of the Gulf spill.  I waited patiently until estimates regarding the cost of the spill started working their way into the news.  Once those estimates became available, I did some quick math on what that kind of one time hit would mean to BP based on a review of their balance sheet and income statement.  I found the estimates didn't jive with the whole narrative that BP was going to get wiped out and I bought them near the bottom and it ended up being a good trade.

It could have gone against me but the important thing is that I was working with some real information to make my decision.  It wasn't a lot of information nor was it a complex analysis but it was still far better than throwing a dart against the wall and seeing where it sticks.
Link Posted: 10/10/2014 4:23:09 PM EDT
[#9]
Gonna be curious (in the vomit my guts up kind of way) to see what happens to oil stocks when oil falls to sub-70. Some of these have giving up well beyond 50% with a $20 drop in oil.
Link Posted: 10/10/2014 4:50:10 PM EDT
[#10]
My ass hurts...
Link Posted: 10/10/2014 6:12:25 PM EDT
[#11]
My cousin is In Oil and I talked to him about it.   He said think about what happens to oil companies when the boom stops and they are holding all the expensive equipment.  I couldn't pull the trigger and these guys hold some of the most expensive oil equipment.
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