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Posted: 5/19/2024 7:00:44 AM EDT
[#1]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By voyager3: If all the hippies were right, the evil oil companies would commission the evil PMCs to put an end to this. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By voyager3: Originally Posted By michigan66: Looks like Ramadan Claus brought the Houthis more missiles, which they used to attack a ship heading to China.
If all the hippies were right, the evil oil companies would commission the evil PMCs to put an end to this. Give it a few more years and it will likely be so. Remember that through roughly 1800 most of the overseas fighting on behalf of the various European countries was done by forces organized, recruited, trained and financed by corporations within those countries (British East India Company, the Dutch East India Company, the Russian Pacific Company, The East Africa Company, the Dutch West Indies Company, The Virginia Company, etc.) |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 7:03:38 AM EDT
[#2]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By stgdz: I was wondering why they keep hitting the peninsula. I can't figure out why they keep doing it when they could expend.matetial on the front line to try and take back Territory. Unless they believe the Russians will just pick up and go home some day. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By stgdz: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: I believe Trent is right this time. 
I was wondering why they keep hitting the peninsula. I can't figure out why they keep doing it when they could expend.matetial on the front line to try and take back Territory. Unless they believe the Russians will just pick up and go home some day. Logistics and Area Denial. The Ukes are trying to turn holding the Crimea peninsula from a base of operations to a military/logistic liability. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 7:05:56 AM EDT
[#3]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Circuits: More jam-resistant GPS is good. High precision INS would be even better, though - because it cannot be jammed. If we can get CEP to 3m for INS alone, we may well stop bothering to put GPS on things. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Circuits: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: They are. https://www.baesystems.com/en/product/sabr Thats right, M-Code is here. Introducing the new SABR-M, our M-Code GPS receiver for precision strike and other applications! We’re building on SABR-Y, SABR-M to provide advanced protection against signal jamming and spoofing for guided weapons and other small applications. The end result: the most precise geolocation and strike capabilities when you need it most. More jam-resistant GPS is good. High precision INS would be even better, though - because it cannot be jammed. If we can get CEP to 3m for INS alone, we may well stop bothering to put GPS on things. There are a few solutions that they have been working on. They are various forms of inertial systems that don't need any GPS to achieve the same accuracy. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 7:12:14 AM EDT
[#4]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: Ukrainian media RosSMI reports a missile attack on Crimea: the Crimean bridge is blocked Explosions were heard in a number of settlements in temporarily occupied Crimea. This is reported by RBC-Ukraine with reference to RIA Novosti , State of Emergency/Sevastopol, Crimean Wind . RIA Novosti, with reference to the occupation administration, writes that air defense was operating in Sevastopol, and a missile attack was allegedly repelled. Local telegram channels report about the closure of the Crimean Bridge. The sounds of explosions are reported in Sevastopol, Evpatoria, Saki, Perevalny. According to Russian propagandists, ATACMS missiles and UAVs were allegedly used. "Crimean Wind" writes about "three arrivals to one point, to some ship in the area of the Engineering Bay of Sevastopol." According to the channel, a column of black smoke is visible. Updated at 01:49. The repelling of the missile attack on Sevastopol has been completed, reports of fallen fragments and submunitions are being received, RIA Novosti writes with reference to the occupiers in Crimea. Meanwhile, local channels are reporting a new attack by 30 to 100 UAVs. Updated at 02:05. According to the ASTRA telegram channel, there is damage in Sevastopol. The video may show one of the successful strikes on urban or military infrastructure, the channel writes. Previous attack The previous shelling of occupied Crimea took place on May 17. Explosions were heard in Sevastopol and the Dzhankoy region. The light disappeared in Balaklava and Sevastopol. It is assumed that the targets of the attack were thermal power plants. The occupation authorities reported that “dozens of UAVs and more than five unmanned boats” were allegedly destroyed. Ukraine's successful attacks on Crimea have resulted in Russian air defenses losing the ability to effectively cover their targets on the occupied peninsula, British intelligence reports. https://www.rbc.ua/ukr/news/roszmi-povidomlyayut-raketnu-ataku-krim-krimskiy-1716068259.html https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GN2OclpWIAAE4x8?format=jpg&name=medium https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GN2PDqfXsAAdwkT?format=jpg&name=small  |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 7:14:42 AM EDT
[#5]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GN7W4_HWEAAECuW?format=jpg&name=medium
LOL, Russians strafing the shit out of the whole city
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Posted: 5/19/2024 7:20:20 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#6]
The management of the Slavyansk Refinery stated that after several noisy explosions, the plant stopped its work and they are now assessing the damage. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 7:34:57 AM EDT
[#7]
  
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Posted: 5/19/2024 7:54:42 AM EDT
[#8]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime:
I know fuck all about EOD but why don't they just shoot it from a safe distance? It's not like there aree sensitive tructures or anything they need to protect there. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 7:54:46 AM EDT
[#9]
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Posted: 5/19/2024 7:58:46 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#10]
 
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Posted: 5/19/2024 8:01:22 AM EDT
[#11]
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Posted: 5/19/2024 8:06:11 AM EDT
[#12]
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Posted: 5/19/2024 8:24:41 AM EDT
[#13]
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Posted: 5/19/2024 8:26:52 AM EDT
[#14]
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Posted: 5/19/2024 8:37:20 AM EDT
[#15]
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MN, USA
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Posted: 5/19/2024 8:52:37 AM EDT
[#16]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Logistics and Area Denial. The Ukes are trying to turn holding the Crimea peninsula from a base of operations to a military/logistic liability. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Originally Posted By stgdz: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: I believe Trent is right this time.
I was wondering why they keep hitting the peninsula. I can't figure out why they keep doing it when they could expend.matetial on the front line to try and take back Territory. Unless they believe the Russians will just pick up and go home some day. Logistics and Area Denial. The Ukes are trying to turn holding the Crimea peninsula from a base of operations to a military/logistic liability. Why though? They can't break the front line, they tried. So now they just bomb the shit out of the rear support sections but they still haven't been able to bypass the southern mine fields. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 9:04:48 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#17]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By stgdz: Why though? They can't break the front line, they tried. So now they just bomb the shit out of the rear support sections but they still haven't been able to bypass the southern mine fields. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By stgdz: Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Originally Posted By stgdz: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: I believe Trent is right this time.
I was wondering why they keep hitting the peninsula. I can't figure out why they keep doing it when they could expend.matetial on the front line to try and take back Territory. Unless they believe the Russians will just pick up and go home some day. Logistics and Area Denial. The Ukes are trying to turn holding the Crimea peninsula from a base of operations to a military/logistic liability. Why though? They can't break the front line, they tried. So now they just bomb the shit out of the rear support sections but they still haven't been able to bypass the southern mine fields. Strategists have said many times that if the Ukrainians can choke off supplies to the Crimean peninsula and attrit units there eventually it could become too costly and untenable for the Russians to hold the peninsula. They might eventually withdraw like the Black Sea fleet has when conditions become so bad for them. At that point, it doesn't matter how many minefields the Russians installed. Ukrainian forces can move in slowly as the Russians retreat. This is a strategy that will play out for a few years, not months. 2026 is my best guess. https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-russia-crimea-atacms/32925212.html Now that Ukraine is armed with ATACMS, Hodges said, there is nowhere for Russian forces in Crimea to hide. Ukraine's armed forces "know every square meter" of the peninsula, he said. During his visit to the Munich Security Conference in February, Zelenskiy said he showed U.S. officials which targets he wanted to strike with ATACMS. "The first big step toward the liberation of Crimea is making it untenable. And long-range, precision strike capability will give Ukraine the opportunity to do that," Hodges said. "You don't have to kill all the Russians," he said. "You just have to make sure that they don't have fuel, ammunition, and food." While Karber said Ukraine would also likely launch ATACMS against Russian military facilities in the occupied eastern parts of the country where Moscow has been making progress and is gearing up for an offensive, Hodges said Crimea is the key to victory. "Crimea is what we would call the decisive terrain of this board. Whoever controls Crimea is going to be the winner here," Hodges said. In the meantime, just isolating Crimea by destroying supply lines would reduce pressure on Ukrainian forces, he added. Russian missile and drone attacks emanating from the peninsula would ease, and Russian troops in the occupied south would face logistics issues, Hodges said. Ukraine could then potentially free up troops in the south for the tougher theater in the east, he said. "It will clearly have a broader effect other than just getting the Russians out of there," Hodges said. "It'll have an effect across the theater, psychologically as well as logistically and physically." |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 9:06:14 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#18]
Now.
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Posted: 5/19/2024 9:24:25 AM EDT
[#19]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Now.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GN8aDSwXsAAl3ri?format=jpg&name=small Not hard enough |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 9:39:02 AM EDT
[#20]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Now.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GN8aDSwXsAAl3ri?format=jpg&name=small Hopefully a little Mosad/Ukranian GRU joint action. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 9:44:45 AM EDT
[#21]
15 minutes ago.
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Posted: 5/19/2024 10:02:03 AM EDT
[#22]
 Damaged Russian turtle MT-LB. Bakhmut front. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 10:07:50 AM EDT
[#23]
 Ukrainian M2A2 Bradley IFV returning from the engagement covered in spent 25mm shell casings. Strange green camo. 
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Posted: 5/19/2024 10:11:49 AM EDT
[#24]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By stgdz: Why though? They can't break the front line, they tried. So now they just bomb the shit out of the rear support sections but they still haven't been able to bypass the southern mine fields. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By stgdz: Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Originally Posted By stgdz: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: I believe Trent is right this time.
I was wondering why they keep hitting the peninsula. I can't figure out why they keep doing it when they could expend.matetial on the front line to try and take back Territory. Unless they believe the Russians will just pick up and go home some day. Logistics and Area Denial. The Ukes are trying to turn holding the Crimea peninsula from a base of operations to a military/logistic liability. Why though? They can't break the front line, they tried. So now they just bomb the shit out of the rear support sections but they still haven't been able to bypass the southern mine fields. If you can't break through the front, what happens to the front when supplies, support units, munitions, troops, and equipment to replace front line units gets smoked? It weakens. Add in the elimination of any platforms capable of harassing our rear areas, cities, support units, etc. and it's definitely a plus. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 10:23:39 AM EDT
[#25]
According to the Russian sources, the oil depot in Vyborg hasn't been operational for some time and someone was playing with fireworks on the premises. That makes more sense to me than UA drone attack north of St. Petersburg.
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SC, USA
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Posted: 5/19/2024 10:26:18 AM EDT
[#26]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By planemaker: 82 vehicles/fuel tanks is a lot and way above average. They must have found a way to clobber logistics convoys and/or trains to get a count that high. One has to wonder how the supply situation is going if Ukraine is destroying that many logistics vehicles every day. With the Russians pushed forward in bulges I suspect the Russian logistic trying to follow the bulges in the line are being droned/artillery from right and left parameters. |
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USA
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Posted: 5/19/2024 10:55:52 AM EDT
[#27]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Give it a few more years and it will likely be so. Remember that through roughly 1800 most of the overseas fighting on behalf of the various European countries was done by forces organized, recruited, trained and financed by corporations within those countries (British East India Company, the Dutch East India Company, the Russian Pacific Company, The East Africa Company, the Dutch West Indies Company, The Virginia Company, etc.) Weren't they kind of state owned though, somewhere between the Fed Reserve and Gazprom? Were privateers still a thing? |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 10:57:11 AM EDT
[#28]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Strategists have said many times that if the Ukrainians can choke off supplies to the Crimean peninsula and attrit units there eventually it could become too costly and untenable for the Russians to hold the peninsula. They might eventually withdraw like the Black Sea fleet has when conditions become so bad for them. At that point, it doesn't matter how many minefields the Russians installed. Ukrainian forces can move in slowly as the Russians retreat. This is a strategy that will play out for a few years, not months. 2026 is my best guess. https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-russia-crimea-atacms/32925212.html I don’t think Ukraine can liberate the Crimean peninsula. If Ukraine does break the land bridge the Kherson region of the dniepr (left bank) becomes untenable and you have another Kharkiv rout |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 11:41:50 AM EDT
[#29]
 Ukrainian Leopard 1A5DK with ERA Image of Leopard-1A5 with standard modernization carried out by one of the specialized organizations have appeared. The upper front plate is equipped with the "Nizh" ERA, while the turret is equipped with the "Kontact-1". The Leopard 1A5DK was equipped with a welded turret with spaced armor, while the hull remained similar to the first Leopard-1 modifications. Additionally the ERA was installed on the sides of the hull. With a slight increase in weight it was possible to significantly increase tank protection. Composite damping materials and light alloys are also used in the protective structures. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 11:53:36 AM EDT
[#30]
Just spitballing a question, but if an orc airfield has for any length of time based "dozens of aircraft", why hasn't it been hit before now?
The logical answer is "until now the radar hasn't been degraded". RIANSMegathread says? |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 12:16:53 PM EDT
[#31]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By voyager3: Weren't they kind of state owned though, somewhere between the Fed Reserve and Gazprom? Were privateers still a thing? Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By voyager3: Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Give it a few more years and it will likely be so. Remember that through roughly 1800 most of the overseas fighting on behalf of the various European countries was done by forces organized, recruited, trained and financed by corporations within those countries (British East India Company, the Dutch East India Company, the Russian Pacific Company, The East Africa Company, the Dutch West Indies Company, The Virginia Company, etc.) Weren't they kind of state owned though, somewhere between the Fed Reserve and Gazprom? Were privateers still a thing? Depends on the time period/country in question as to the relationship between governing bodies and their corporations; it is doubly hard to translate into modern-day framing given the intermingling of state and private interests in a time of aristocracy, nobility, and monarchy. Also, it becomes one of those "chicken/egg" discussions as to whether the corporations were being utilized to further the foreign policy interests of the state OR the corporations manipulated the state's foreign policy to further their corporate interests above those of the state, or to embrace the healing power of AND. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 12:19:45 PM EDT
[#32]
The helicopter incident with the Iranian president has hit the US mediaIran Incident Response Report
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Posted: 5/19/2024 12:31:55 PM EDT
[#33]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Depends on the time period/country in question as to the relationship between governing bodies and their corporations; it is doubly hard to translate into modern-day framing given the intermingling of state and private interests in a time of aristocracy, nobility, and monarchy. Also, it becomes one of those "chicken/egg" discussions as to whether the corporations were being utilized to further the foreign policy interests of the state OR the corporations manipulated the state's foreign policy to further their corporate interests above those of the state, or to embrace the healing power of AND. Do you have any doubts that corp interests are driving U.S. foreign policy and have been for decades? |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 12:56:20 PM EDT
[#34]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By doc540: Do you have any doubts that corp interests are driving U.S. foreign policy and have been for decades? Not at all. Defense Secretary Charles "Engine Charley" Johnson put it best when he stated "What is good for General Motors is good for the Country". Also, see Banana Wars, Versailles Treaty, etc. I'm not quite with MajGen Smedley Butler, but he wasn't completely wrong. 
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Posted: 5/19/2024 1:05:42 PM EDT
[#35]
 New book 'World on the Brink' argues U.S. failing to deter Chinese invasion of Taiwan |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 1:10:05 PM EDT
[#36]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Now.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GN8aDSwXsAAl3ri?format=jpg&name=small i have seen reports saying that picture is an old one. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 1:12:40 PM EDT
[#37]
One of Japan’s southernmost islands close to Taiwan https://amp.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/17/yonaguni-island-japan-taiwan-china-relations
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Posted: 5/19/2024 1:12:55 PM EDT
[#38]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By brahm: i have seen reports saying that picture is an old one. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By brahm: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Now.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GN8aDSwXsAAl3ri?format=jpg&name=small i have seen reports saying that picture is an old one. That picture wasn’t intended to be the landing. He’s dead. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 1:23:42 PM EDT
[#39]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By CarmelBytheSea: One of Japan’s southernmost islands close to Taiwan https://amp.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/17/yonaguni-island-japan-taiwan-china-relations Fucking up paradise. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 1:31:20 PM EDT
[#40]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By ServusVeritatis: That picture wasn’t intended to be the landing. He’s dead. Well. There it is. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 1:35:39 PM EDT
[#41]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Julian_JJE: With the Russians pushed forward in bulges I suspect the Russian logistic trying to follow the bulges in the line are being droned/artillery from right and left parameters. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Julian_JJE: Originally Posted By planemaker: 82 vehicles/fuel tanks is a lot and way above average. They must have found a way to clobber logistics convoys and/or trains to get a count that high. One has to wonder how the supply situation is going if Ukraine is destroying that many logistics vehicles every day. With the Russians pushed forward in bulges I suspect the Russian logistic trying to follow the bulges in the line are being droned/artillery from right and left parameters. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 1:52:16 PM EDT
[#42]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Not at all. Defense Secretary Charles "Engine Charley" Johnson put it best when he stated "What is good for General Motors is good for the Country". Also, see Banana Wars, Versailles Treaty, etc. I'm not quite with MajGen Smedley Butler, but he wasn't completely wrong. I Liked Ike |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 1:54:14 PM EDT
[#43]
If it was a Russian "hard landing", he's dead as a doornail.
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TX, USA
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Posted: 5/19/2024 1:58:13 PM EDT
[#44]
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Posted: 5/19/2024 1:58:53 PM EDT
[#45]
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Posted: 5/19/2024 2:08:14 PM EDT
[#46]
Not sure if a good thing or bad thing?
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Posted: 5/19/2024 2:19:13 PM EDT
[#47]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By ArmyInfantryVet: Ukraine has been pounding Russia with drones. Makes ya wonder if Russia is in as big of a tough spot about Air defense munitions as Ukraine is. Probably in as much as they cannot cover their whole territory. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 2:32:49 PM EDT
[#48]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By fadedsun: I don’t think Ukraine can liberate the Crimean peninsula. If Ukraine does break the land bridge the Kherson region of the dniepr (left bank) becomes untenable and you have another Kharkiv rout Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By fadedsun: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Strategists have said many times that if the Ukrainians can choke off supplies to the Crimean peninsula and attrit units there eventually it could become too costly and untenable for the Russians to hold the peninsula. They might eventually withdraw like the Black Sea fleet has when conditions become so bad for them. At that point, it doesn't matter how many minefields the Russians installed. Ukrainian forces can move in slowly as the Russians retreat. This is a strategy that will play out for a few years, not months. 2026 is my best guess. https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-russia-crimea-atacms/32925212.html I don’t think Ukraine can liberate the Crimean peninsula. If Ukraine does break the land bridge the Kherson region of the dniepr (left bank) becomes untenable and you have another Kharkiv rout I don’t think Ukraine has to (or can) fight their way down to Sevastopol to plant the flag. Continued western supply allowing Ukraine to hold the line in the East. Continued SEAD/DEAD campaign. Continued and expanding drone attrition of Russian refineries. F16s attritting the RUAF, then pounding the front with glide bombs. Putin will never stop. But Ukraine can, IMO, get to the point where someone/someones replaces Putin to cut their losses. Even so I think that will be a ways off and Russia will be in bad shape by then. They might even have to pull out to deal with internal problems. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 2:34:08 PM EDT
[#49]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Brok3n: Not sure if a good thing or bad thing?
The death of a tyrant is never a bad thing. |
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Posted: 5/19/2024 2:36:48 PM EDT
[#50]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By swede1986: https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/135411/IMG_3463_jpeg-3218286.JPG Too soon? 
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